Saturday, January 19, 2008

*FINAL PROJECTIONS*

*ORIGINAL SCORE HAS BEEN AMENDED TO REFLECT THE LATE DQ OF THERE WILL BE BLOOD, INTO THE WILD, AND ENCHANTED*

PROJECTED MULTIPLE NOMS: COUNTRY (7), BLOOD (7), CLAYTON (7), WILD (7), ATONEMENT (6), DIVING (6), RATATOUILLE (4), SWEENEY (4), JUNO (3), ELIZABETH (3), TRANSFORMERS (3), EASTERN (2), GANGSTER (2), HAIRSPRAY (2), LARS (2), LUST (2), PIRATES (2), 300 (2)

BEST PICTURE
Projected Nominees
(1) No Country for Old Men (Miramax)
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Scott Rudin
(2) The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Miramax)
Kathleen Kennedy, John Kilik
(3) Michael Clayton (Warner Brothers)
Jennifer Fox, Kerry Orent, Sydney Pollack, Steve Samuels
(4) There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage)
Paul Thomas Anderson, Daniel Lupi, JoAnne Sellar
(5) Juno (Fox Searchlight)
Lianne Halfon, John Malkovich, Mason Novick, Russell Smith
Alternate Into the Wild (Paramount Vantage)
Art Linson, Sean Penn, William Pohlad
Potential Surprise American Gangster (Universal)
Brian Grazer, Ridley Scott
Shoulda Been a Contenda Gone Baby Gone (Miramax)
Ben Affleck, Sean Bailey, Alan Ladd Jr., Danton Rissner

BEST DIRECTOR
Projected Nominees
(1) Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men)
(2) Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
(3)
Paul Thomas Anderson (There Will Be Blood)
(4)
Tony Gilroy (Michael Clayton)
(5)
Sean Penn (Into the Wild)
Alternate
Jason Reitman (Juno)
Potential Surprise
Joe Wright (Atonement)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Sidney Lumet (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead)

BEST ACTOR
Projected Nominees
(1) Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
(2) George Clooney (Michael Clayton)
(3) Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises)
(4) Ryan Gosling (Lars and the Real Girl)
(5) Frank Langella (Starting Out in the Evening)
Alternate
Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd)
Potential Surprise
Denzel Washington (American Gangster)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Tommy Lee Jones (In the Valley of Elah)

BEST ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
(1) Marion Cotillard (La Vie En Rose)
(2) Ellen Page (Juno)
(3) Julie Christie (Away from Her)
(4) Angelina Jolie (A Mighty Heart)
(5) Cate Blanchett (Elizabeth: The Golden Age)
Alternate
Laura Linney (The Savages)
Potential Surprise
Amy Adams (Enchanted)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Tang Wei (Lust, Caution)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Projected Nominees
(1) Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
(2) Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton)
(3) Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James)
(4) Hal Holbrook (Into the Wild)
(5) Philip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson's War)
Alternate
Tommy Lee Jones (No Country for Old Men)
Potential Surprise
Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Michael Cera (Juno)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
(1) Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)
(2) Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
(3) Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)
(4)
Ruby Dee (American Gangster)
(5)
Catherine Keener (Into the Wild)
Alternate Saoirse Ronan
(Atonement)
Potential Surprise Jennifer Garner
(Juno)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Emmanuelle Seigner (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Projected Nominees
(1) Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men)
(2) Ronald Harwood (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
(3)
Sean Penn (Into the Wild)
(4)
Paul Thomas Anderson (There Will Be Blood)
(5) Christopher Hampton (Atonement)
Alternate
Aaron Sorkin (Charlie Wilson's War)
Potential Surprise James Vanderbilt
(Zodiac)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Ben Affleck, Aaron Stockard (Gone Baby Gone)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Projected Nominees
(1) Diablo Cody (Juno)
(2) Tony Gilroy (Michael Clayton)
(3) Tamara Jenkins (The Savages)
(4)
Nancy Oliver (Lars and the Real Girl)
(5) Brad Bird (Ratatouille)
Alternate
Steven Knight (Eastern Promises)
Potential Surprise Judd Apatow
(Knocked Up)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Kelly Masterson (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead)

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Projected Nominees
(1) Ratatouille (Disney)
(2) The Simpsons Movie (20th Century Fox)
(3) Persepolis (Sony Pictures Classics)

Alternate
Bee Movie (DreamWorks)
Potential Surprise Beowulf
(Paramount)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Surf's Up (Columbia)

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Projected Nominees
(1) The Counterfeitters (Austria)
(2) The Unknown (Italy)
(3)
12 (Russia)
(4)
The Trap (Serbia)
(5)
Katyn (Poland)
Alternate
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation (Brazil)
Potential Surprise Days of Darkness
(Canada)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Persepolis (France)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Projected Nominees
(1) Sicko (The Weinstein Company)
(2) No End in Sight (Magnolia)
(3)
Lake of Fire (THINKFilm)
(4)
Nanking (THINKFilm)
(5) Autism: The Musical (HBO)
Alternate
Body of War (Film Sales Company)
Potential Surprise
The Rape of Europa (Menemsha)
Shoulda Been a Contenda In the Shadow of the Moon (THINKFilm)

BEST ART DIRECTION
Projected Nominees
(1) Sweeney Todd
(2) There Will Be Blood
(3) Atonement
(4) Elizabeth: The Golden Age
(5) The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Alternate The Golden Compass
Potential Surprise 3:10 to Yuma

Shoulda Been a Contenda The Kite Runner

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Projected Nominees
(1) Janusz Kaminski (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
(2) Roger Deakins (No Country for Old Men)
(3)
Robert Elswit (There Will Be Blood)
(4)
Eric Gautier (Into the Wild)
(5)
Seamus McGarvey (Atonement)
Alternate
Roger Deakins (The Assassination of Jesse James)
Potential Surprise Dariusz Wolski (Sweeney Todd)

Shoulda Been a Contenda Harris Savides (Zodiac)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Projected Nominees
(1) Jacqueline Durran (Atonement)
(2) Colleen Atwood (Sweeney Todd)
(3)
Alexandra Byrne (Elizabeth: The Golden Age)
(4) Ruth Myers (The Golden Compass)
(5) Pan Lai (Lust, Caution)
Alternate
Rita Ryack (Hairspray)
Potential Surprise
Marit Allen (La Vie En Rose)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Mona May (Enchanted)

BEST EDITING
Projected Nominees
(1) Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men)
(2) John Gilroy (Michael Clayton)
(3) Dylan Tichenor (There Will Be Blood)
(4)
Jay Cassidy (Into the Wild)
(5)
Paul Tothill (Atonement)
Alternate
Christopher Rouse (The Bourne Ultimatum)
Potential Surprise
Dana E. Glauberman (Juno)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Darren Holmes (Ratatouille)

BEST MAKEUP
Projected Nominees
(1) Sweeney Todd
(2) The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
(3)
La Vie En Rose
Alternate
300
Potential Surprise
Norbit
Shoulda Been a Contenda Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Projected Nominees
(1) Dario Marianelli (Atonement)
(2) Howard Shore (Eastern Promises)
(3)
Alexandre Desplat (Lust, Caution)
(4)
Alberto Iglesias (The Kite Runner)
(5)
Michael Giacchino (Ratatouille)
Alternate
Marco Beltrami (3:10 to Yuma)
Potential Surprise
David Shire (Zodiac)
Shoulda Been a Contenda Jonny Greenwood (There Will Be Blood)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Projected Nominees
(1) "Guaranteed" (Into the Wild)
(2) "Falling Slowly" (Once)
(3) "That's How You Know" (Enchanted)
(4)
"Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)" (Hairspray)
(5)
"Do You Feel Me" (American Gangster)
Alternate
"Despedida" (Love in the Time of Cholera)
Potential Surprise
"Grace Is Gone" (Grace Is Gone)
Shoulda Been a Contenda "Le Festin" (Ratatouille)

BEST SOUND EDITING
Projected Nominees
(1) Transformers
(2)
300
(3)
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
(4)
Ratatouille
(5) The Bourne Ultimatum
Alternate Spider-Man 3
Potential Surprise
Beowulf
Shoulda Been a Contenda The Kingdom

BEST SOUND MIXING
Projected Nominees
(1) Sweeney Todd
(2) Transformers
(3)
300
(4)
No Country for Old Men
(5)
Hairspray
Alternate Ratatouille

Potential Surprise The Bourne Ultimatum

Shoulda Been a Contenda Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Projected Nominees
(1) Transformers
(2) The Golden Compass
(3) Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Alternate 300

Potential Surprise I Am Legend

Shoulda Been a Contenda Evan Almighty

not currently projecting: BEST ANIMATED SHORT, BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT, BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Posted by Editor at 22:44:00 | Permanent Link | Comments (7) |
Comments
1 - there will be blood will be nominated and michael clayton. Juno is the least like to get in.
 (Comment this)

Written by: Rasgriz at 2008/01/20 - 02:22:03
2 - Out of the three (Juno, MC and TWBB), I think Juno is going to be out. Fox Searchlight will be content (very content, I might add) with the box office success. Although I would love for it to be in to shakeup what looks to be theme wise, a very depressing, although satisfying group of BP nominees. (Comment this)

Written by: Anonymous at 2008/01/20 - 04:39:59
3 - Our Best Animation prediction is identical. All the rest, not quite.

http://cinemascopian.com/predicting-the-nominees/ (Comment this)

Written by: Yair Raveh at 2008/01/20 - 08:02:04
4 - I still think you are underestimating the potential of Atonement. I did too until I saw its shockingly strong showing in the BAFTA nominations.

As for the actual winners, I'm sticking by my original prediction. 2007 is going to be just like 1996, where an amazing film from the Coen brothers gets shafted in favor of an overrated prestige costume drama. (Comment this)

Written by: Anonymous at 2008/01/20 - 23:44:37
5 - Whoa, why did There Will Be Blood get disqualified from Best Original Score?!? (Comment this)

Written by: Anonymous at 2008/01/21 - 20:47:48
6 - Yeah. Pete Hammond has the scoop:
http://theenvelope.latimes.com/columnists/notesonaseason/env-notes-hammond21jan21,0,5076603.column?coll=env-home-top-headlines (Comment this)

Written by: Scott Feinberg at 2008/01/21 - 22:04:12
7 - That's bullshit... (Comment this)

Written by: Anonymous at 2008/01/22 - 02:21:53
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