[These initial projections were composed from the best information available to me at this early date, which is admittedly limited, but which I wanted to share with you nonetheless. Needless to say, there will be many amendments posted over the weeks and months to come, for which I hope you'll frequently check back!]

BEST PICTURE
Frontrunners
“The Fighter” (Paramount, 12/10)
“True Grit” (Paramount, 12/25)
“Love and Other Drugs” (20th Century Fox, 11/24)
“Another Year” (Sony Pictures Classics, 12/?)
“Inception” (Warner Brothers, 7/16)
“127 Hours” (Fox Searchlight, TBA)
“The Social Network” (Columbia, 10/1)
“Somewhere” (Focus Features, 12/22)
“The Tree of Life” (Apparition, TBD)
“The King’s Speech” (The Weinstein Company, 11/26)
Major Threats
“Toy Story 3” (Disney, 6/18)
“The Kids Are All Right” (Focus Features, 7/9)
“Conviction” (Fox Searchlight, 10/15)
“Hereafter” (Warner Brothers, 10/22)
“Secretariat” (Disney, 10/8)
Possibilities
“Black Swan” (Fox Searchlight, TBD)
“Blue Valentine” (The Weinstein Company, 12/31)
“Fair Game” (Summit, TBD)
“Eat Pray Love” (Columbia, 8/13)
“Never Let Me Go” (Fox Searchlight, 10/1)
“Winter’s Bone” (Roadside Attractions, 6/11)
“Morning Glory” (Paramount, 11/12)
Outside Shots
“How to Train Your Dragon” (Paramount, 3/26)
“Get Low” (Sony Pictures Classics, 7/30)
“The American” (Focus Features, 9/1)
“The Next Three Days” (Lionsgate, 11/19)
“Everything You’ve Got” (Columbia, 12/17)
“Mother and Child” (Sony Pictures Classics, 5/7)
“Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps” (20th Century Fox, 9/24)
Not Happening
“Shutter Island” (Paramount, 2/19)
“Robin Hood” (Universal, 5/14)
“Green Zone” (Universal, 3/12)
“Greenberg” (Focus Features, 3/19)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
“Biutiful”
“The Conspirator”
“London Boulevard”
“The Way Back”

BEST DIRECTOR
Frontrunners
David O. Russell (“The Fighter”)
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (“True Grit”)
Edward Zwick (“Love and Other Drugs”)
Mike Leigh (“Another Year”)
Christopher Nolan (“Inception”)
Danny Boyle (“127 Hours”)
David Fincher (“The Social Network”)
Sofia Coppola (“Somewhere”)
Terence Malick (“The Tree of Life”)
Major Threats
Tom Hooper (“The King’s Speech”)
Lee Unkrich (“Toy Story 3”)
Clint Eastwood (“Hereafter”)
Lisa Cholodenko (“The Kids Are All Right”)
Tony Goldwyn (“Conviction”)
Randall Wallace (“Secretariat”)
Possibilities
Darren Aronofsky (“Black Swan”)
Derek Cianfrance (“Blue Valentine”)
Doug Liman (“Fair Game”)
Ryan Murphy (“Eat Pray Love”)
Mark Romanek (“Never Let Me Go”)
Debra Granik (“Winter’s Bone”)
Roger Michell (“Morning Glory”)
Outside Shots
Dean Deblois, Chris Sanders (“How to Train Your Dragon”)
Aaron Schneider (“Get Low”)
Anton Corbijn (“The American”)
Paul Haggis (“The Next Three Days”)
James L. Brooks (“Everything You’ve Got”)
Rodrigo Garcia (“Mother and Child”)
Oliver Stone (“Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps”)
Not Happening
Martin Scorsese (“Shutter Island”)
Ridley Scott (“Robin Hood”)
Paul Greengrass (“Green Zone”)
Noah Baumbach (“Greenberg”)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“Biutiful”)
Robert Redford (“The Conspirator”)
William Monahan (“London Boulevard”)
Peter Weir (“The Way Back”)

BEST ACTOR
Frontrunners
Mark Wahlberg (“The Fighter”)
Jake Gyllenhaal (“Love and Other Drugs”)
Ryan Gosling (“Blue Valentine”)
Jeff Bridges (“True Grit”)
Colin Firth (“The King’s Speech”)
Leonardo DiCaprio (“Inception”)
Sean Penn (“The Tree of Life”)
James Franco (“127 Hours”)
Major Threats
Stephen Dorff (“Somewhere”)
Jesse Eisenberg (“The Social Network”)
Jim Broadbent (“Another Year”)
Matt Damon (“Hereafter”)
Possibilities
Robert Duvall (“Get Low”)
Andy Serkis (“Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll”)
Sean Penn (“Fair Game”)
Jack Nicholson (“Everything You’ve Got”)
Outside Shots
Harrison Ford (“Morning Glory”)
George Clooney (“The American”)
Kevin Spacey (“Casino Jack”)
Michael Douglas (“Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps”)
Russell Crowe (“The Next Three Days”)
Not Happening
Michael Douglas (“Solitary Man”)
Russell Crowe (“Robin Hood”)
Matt Damon (“Green Zone”)
Ben Stiller (“Greenberg”)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Javier Bardem (“Biutiful”)
Colin Farrell (“London Boulevard”)
Jim Sturgess (“The Way Back”)

BEST ACTRESS
Frontrunners
Anne Hathaway (“Love and Other Drugs”)
Annette Bening (“The Kids Are All Right”)
Lesley Manville (“Another Year”)
Michelle Williams (“Blue Valentine”)
Hilary Swank (“Conviction”)
Jennifer Lawrence (“Winter’s Bone”)
Carey Mulligan (“Never Let Me Go”)
Diane Lane (“Secretariat”)
Major Threats
Naomi Watts (“Fair Game”)
Julia Roberts (“Eat Pray Love”)
Helena Bonham Carter (“The King’s Speech”)
Julianne Moore (“The Kids Are All Right”)
Natalie Portman (“Black Swan”)
Nicole Kidman (“Rabbit Hole”)
Possibilities
Jennifer Connelly (“What’s Wrong with Virginia?”)
Diane Keaton (“Morning Glory”)
Reese Witherspoon (“Everything You’ve Got”)
Bryce Dallas Howard (“Hereafter”)
Outside Shots
Tilda Swinton (“I Am Love”)
Annette Bening (“Mother and Child”)
Elizabeth Banks (“The Next Three Days”)
Not Happening
Greta Gerwig (“Greenberg”)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Robin Wright (“The Conspirator”)
Keira Knightley (“London Boulevard”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Frontrunners
Geoffrey Rush (“The King’s Speech”)
Christian Bale (“The Fighter”)
Sam Rockwell (“Conviction”)
Mark Ruffalo (“The Kids Are All Right”)
Major Threats
Josh Brolin (“True Grit”)
Andrew Garfield (“The Social Network”)
John Malkovich (“Secretariat”)
Ed Harris (“What’s Wrong with Virginia?”)
Possibilities
Brad Pitt (“Tree of Life”)
Andrew Garfield (“Never Let Me Go”)
Outside Shots
Bill Murray (“Get Low”)
Miles Teller (“Rabbit Hole”)
Not Happening
Mark Ruffalo (“Shutter Island”)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Colin Farrell (“The Way Back”)
Ed Harris (“The Way Back”)
James McAvoy (“The Conspirator”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Frontrunners
Keira Knightley (“Never Let Me Go”)
Kristin Scott Thomas (“Nowhere Boy”)
Anne-Marie Duff (“Nowhere Boy”)
Elle Fanning (“Somewhere”)
Major Threats
Jessica Chastain (“Tree of Life”)
Dianne Wiest (“Rabbit Hole”)
Andrea Riseborough (“Brighton Rock”)
Barbara Hershey (“Black Swan”)
Winona Ryder (“Black Swan”)
Possibilities
Dale Dickey (“Winter’s Bone”)
Mila Kunis (“Black Swan”)
Amy Adams (“The Fighter”)
Juliette Lewis (“Conviction”)
Outside Shots
Hailee Steinfeld (“True Grit”)
Sissy Spacek (“Get Low”)
Thekla Reuten (“The American”)
Rebecca Hall (“The Town”)
Mia Wasikowska (“The Kids Are All Right”)
Not Happening
Cate Blanchett (“Robin Hood”)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Alexis Bledel (“The Conspirator”)
Evan Rachel Wood (“The Conspirator”)
Saoirse Ronan (“The Way Back”)