FLASH: 1ST OSCAR FORECAST
3 Feb

Projected win count: 6 – “The Hurt Locker”; 3 – “Avatar”; 2 – “Crazy Heart,” “Up”; 1 – “The Blind Side,” “The Cove,” “Inglourious Basterds,” “Precious,” “Star Trek,” “Up in the Air,” “The White Ribbon,” “The Young Victoria”
BEST PICTURE
- 1. “The Hurt Locker” (Summit, 6/26, trailer)
- 2. “Avatar” (20th Century Fox, 12/18, trailer)
- 3. “Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company, 8/21, trailer)
- 4. “Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4, trailer)
- 5. “Precious” (Lions Gate, 11/6, trailer)
- 6. “District 9” (TriStar, 8/14, trailer)
- 7. “Up” (Disney, 5/29, trailer)
- 8. “The Blind Side” (Warner Brothers, 11/20, trailer)
- 9. “An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9, trailer)
- 10. “A Serious Man” (Focus Features, 10/2, trailer)
BEST DIRECTOR
- 1. Kathryn Bigelow (“The Hurt Locker”)
- 2. James Cameron (“Avatar”)
- 3. Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds”)
- 4. Jason Reitman (“Up in the Air”)
- 5. Lee Daniels (“Precious”)
BEST ACTOR
- 1. Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart”)
- 2. George Clooney (“Up in the Air”)
- 3. Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”)
- 4. Colin Firth (“A Single Man”)
- 5. Morgan Freeman (“Invictus”)
BEST ACTRESS
- 1. Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side”)
- 2. Meryl Streep (“Julie & Julia”)
- 3. Carey Mulligan (“An Education”)
- 4. Gabby Sidibe (“Precious”)
- 5. Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
- 1. Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds”)
- 2. Woody Harrelson (“The Messenger”)
- 3. Christopher Plummer (“The Last Station”)
- 4. Matt Damon (“Invictus”)
- 5. Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- 1. Mo’Nique (“Precious”)
- 2. Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”)
- 3. Vera Farmiga (“Up in the Air”)
- 4. Maggie Gyllenhaal (“Crazy Heart”)
- 5. Penelope Cruz (“Nine”)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
- 1. Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner (“Up in the Air”)
- 2. Geoffrey Fletcher (“Precious”)
- 3. Nick Hornby (“An Education”)
- 4. Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell (“District 9”)
- 5. Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche (“In the Loop”)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
- 1. Mark Boal (“The Hurt Locker”)
- 2. Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds”)
- 3. Pete Docter, Bob Peterson (“Up”)
- 4. Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (“A Serious Man”)
- 5. Alessandro Camon, Oren Moverman (“The Messenger”)
BEST ANIMATED FILM
- 1. “Up” (Disney)
- 2. “Fantastic Mr. Fox” (Fox Searchlight)
- 3. “Coraline” (Focus FeatureS)
- 4. “The Princess and the Frog” (Disney)
- 5. “The Secret of Kells” (GKIDS)
BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM
- 1. “The Cove” (Roadside Attractions, 7/31, trailer)
- 2. “Food, Inc.” (Magnolia, 6/12, trailer)
- 3. “The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers” (Kovno, 6/1, trailer)
- 4. “Burma VJ” (Oscilloscope, 5/20, trailer)
- 5. “Which Way Home” (HBO, 1/31, trailer)
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
- 1. “The White Ribbon” (Germany)
- 2. “A Prophet” (France)
- 3. “The Secret in Their Eyes” (Argentina)
- 4. “Ajami” (Israel)
- 5. “The Milk of Sorrow” (Peru)
BEST ART DIRECTION
- 1. “Avatar” (Rick Carter, Robert Stromberg, Kim Sinclair)
- 2. “Nine” (John Myhre, Gordon Sim)
- 3. “Sherlock Holmes” (Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer)
- 4. “The Young Victoria” (Patrice Vermette, Maggie Gray)
- 5. “The Imaginarium of Dr. Parnassus” (Dave Warren, Anastasia Masaro, Caroline Smith)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
- 1. “The Hurt Locker” (Barry Ackroyd)
- 2. “Avatar” (Mauro Fiore)
- 3. “Inglourious Basterds” (Robert Richardson)
- 4. “The White Ribbon” (Christian Berger)
- 5. “Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince” (Bruno Delbonnel)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
- 1. “The Young Victoria” (Sandy Powell)
- 2. “Nine” (Colleen Atwood)
- 3. “Bright Star” (Janet Patterson)
- 4. “Coco Before Chanel” (Catherine Leterrier)
- 5. “The Imaginarium of Dr. Parnassus” (Monique Prudhomme)
BEST FILM EDITING
- 1. “The Hurt Locker” (Bob Murawski, Chris Innis)
- 2. “Avatar” (Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua, James Cameron)
- 3. “Inglourious Basterds” (Sally Menke)
- 4. “Precious” (Joe Klotz)
- 5. “District 9” (Julian Clarke)
BEST MAKEUP
- 1. “Star Trek” (Barney Burman, Mindy Hall, Joel Harlow)
- 2. “The Young Victoria” (Jon Henry Gordon, Jenny Shircore)
- 3. “Il Divo” (Aldo Signoretti, Vittorio Sodano)
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
- 1. “Up” (Michael Giacchino)
- 2. “Avatar” (James Horner)
- 3. “Sherlock Holmes” (Hans Zimmer)
- 4. “The Hurt Locker” (Marco Beltrami, Buck Sanders)
- 5. “Fantastic Mr. Fox” (Alexandre Desplat)
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
- 1. “The Weary Kind” (“Crazy Heart”)
- 2. “Take It All” (“Nine”)
- 3. “Down in New Orleans” (“The Princess and the Frog”)
- 4. “Almost There” (“The Princess and the Frog”)
- 5. “Loin de Paname” (“Paris 36″)
BEST SOUND EDITING
- 1. “Avatar” (Christopher Boyes, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle)
- 2. “Star Trek” (Mark Stoeckinger, Alan Rankin)
- 3. “Inglourious Basterds” (Wylie Stateman)
- 4. “The Hurt Locker” (Paul N.J. Ottosson)
- 5. “Up” (Michael Silvers, Tom Myers)
BEST SOUND MIXING
- 1. “The Hurt Locker” (Paul N.J. Ottosson, Ray Beckett)
- 2. “Avatar” (Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, Andy Nelson, Tony Johnson)
- 3. “Star Trek” (Anna Behlmer, Andy Nelson, Peter J. Devlin)
- 4. “Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen” (Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Geoffrey Patterson)
- 5. “Inglourious Basterds” (Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti, Mark Ulano)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
- 1. “Avatar” (Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham, Andrew R. Jones)
- 2. “District 9” (Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros, Matt Aitken)
- 3. “Star Trek” (Robert Guyett, Russell Earl, Paul Kavanagh, Burt Dalton)
BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) BASED ON LIMITED INFO/EXPECT REVISIONS
- 1. “A Matter of Loaf and Death” (Nick Park)
- 2. “French Roast” (Fabrice O. Joubert)
- 3. “Logorama” (Nicolas Schmerkin)
- 4. “Granny O’Grimm’s Sleeping Beauty” (Nicky Phelan and Darragh O’Connell)
- 5. “The Lady and the Reaper (La Dama y la Muerte)” (Javier Recio Gracia)
BEST SHORT FILM (DOCUMENTARY) BASED ON LIMITED INFO/EXPECT REVISIONS
- 1. “The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant” (Steven Bognar and Julia Reichert)
- 2. “China’s Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province” (Jon Alpert and Matthew O’Neill)
- 3. “The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner” (Daniel Junge and Henry Ansbacher)
- 4. “Music by Prudence” (Roger Ross Williams and Elinor Burkett)
- 5. “Rabbit à la Berlin” (Bartek Konopka and Anna Wydra)
BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) BASED ON LIMITED INFO/EXPECT REVISIONS
- 1. “Miracle Fish” (Luke Doolan and Drew Bailey)
- 2. “The New Tenants” (Joachim Back and Tivi Magnusson)
- 3. “Kavi” (Gregg Helvey)
- 4. “The Door” (Juanita Wilson and James Flynn)
- 5. “Instead of Abracadabra” (Patrik Eklund and Mathias Fjellström)
Photo: Kathryn Bigelow on the set of “The Hurt Locker.” Credit: Summit.











Well it would be nice if those predictions work out. I’m hoping The Hurt Locker gets the love it deserves!
What a great picture.