Archive | December, 2009

JAMES CAMERON RECLAIMS THE THRONE WITH “AVATAR”

20 Dec

<b>JAMES CAMERON RECLAIMS THE THRONE WITH “AVATAR”</b>

cameron

12 years ago, a man was given the biggest budget in history to make a movie about an event thats ending was already known the world over. The conventional wisdom within the film community was that it had no hope for success, and, as the release date neared, one of the trade papers even began a daily countdown to its failure. Eventually, the movie was released, and, lo and behold, turned out to be unlike anything anyone had ever seen before. The critics united behind it, with the dean of the profession giving it four/four stars and calling it “flawlessly crafted, intelligently constructed, strongly acted and spellbinding.” The public — led by teenage girls, of all people — flocked to see it, propelling it to the #1 spot at the box-office for an unheard of 15 consecutive weeks, with receipts totalling $600.79 million domestically and $1.84 billion worldwide (records that stand to this day). And the Academy, God bless ’em, bestowed upon it a record-tying 14 Oscar nominations and a record-tying 11 Oscars, including three for the man against whom everyone had bet: best film editing, best director, and best picture. As the man concluded his speech accepting the second, with the third clearly only moments away, he finally allowed himself to celebrate, shouting to no one in particular, “I’m the king of the world!”

For the next 12 years, though, James Cameron all but abdicated his throne. It’s not that he wasn’t working; he penned some scripts, shot a few documentaries, produced a couple of TV shows, and tinkered on visual effects technology. But for the masses who had come out for “Titanic” (1997) — not to mention his earlier critical and commercial successes “The Terminator” (1984), “Aliens” (1986), “The Abyss” (1989), “Terminator 2: Judgment Day” (1991), and “True Lies” (1994) — there was no follow-up feature to speak of. As other directors’ careers rose and fell and rose again, Cameron’s lay stagnant, and some suspected that it would remain that way forever. And who could blame him? After all, what was left for him to do that he hadn’t already done before?

The answer to that question is, in a word, “Avatar” (20th Century Fox, 12/18, trailer). The film, which I saw at its first New York press screening on the evening of Thursday, December 10, has already been widely hailed as a masterpiece. Here are my reactions – beware of spoilers:

  • It is, first and foremost, a stunning visual achievement that will popularize the technology used for its production (e-motion capture) and exhibition (3D viewing) — I wouldn’t be surprised to one day hear people refer to movies as being “Before ‘Avatar’” and “After ‘Avatar’.” In the meantime, it will easily rack up several Oscars — certainly including best visual effects, and possibly best picture, too, largely for reasons that I described in a November 17 post.
  • The plot is fairly predictable, blending elements of several earlier films including: “Dances with Wolves” (1990), in which a warrior relocates to a far away land, falls in love with the natives’ way of life (as well as one of their women), and, as war approaches, finds himself caught between his former comrades and his new friends; “Pocahontas” (1995), in which a group travels to another land to pillage its resources, whereupon one of its members falls in love with one of the natives (who receives counsel from a tree of spirits/souls) and learns to look at the world in a different way; “Braveheart” (1995), in which a man inspires a group to take up arms and fight back against an oppressive leader; and “The Last Samurai” (2003), in which a warrior elects to join the cause of the people against whom he was originally fighting, forcing him to take up arms against the people for whom he was originally fighting. One could even describe it — as a friend of mine did — as “The War of the Worlds” (1953), only in reverse!
  • There is a strong political undertone to the film, both in words and images — indeed, I have little doubt that the film’s central conflict is actually a metaphor for America’s two ongoing wars in the Middle East. The humans plan to invade Pandora in order to gain access its large reserves of a precious mineral called unobtainium — not unlike Americans invading Iraq in order to gain access to its large reserves of oil, as some believe was the real motive for the invasion. The humans are led by a strutting, tough-talking colonel (Stephen Lang) who sells his mission to his troops by stating, “Our survival relies on pre-emptive action,” announces, “We will fight terror with terror,” and then oversees a “shock-and-awe campaign“  — not unlike George W. Bush and his effort to rally Americans behind a preemptive attack on Iraq by claiming that Iraq posed “a grave and growing danger” to national security, followed by… a “shock-and-awe campaign.” The native Na’Vi eventually realize that although they lack the military might of their invaders, their familiarity with the terrain on which the war is being fought provides them with an even bigger advantage, allowing them to plan and execute insurgent attacks that initially debilitate and ultimately defeat their invaders — which sounds like a rearticulation of the argument for why the Americans (like Alexander the Great, the Russians, and the British before them) may never be able to “win” in Afghanistan. Finally, one can’t help but look at the attack on and eventual collapse of Pandora’s “Hometree,” its tallest structure and one inhabited by large numbers of its people, and not think of the attack on and eventual collapse of the World Trade Center, especially as it thunders to the ground, killing many of its inhabitants and people on the ground, spraying dust and debris everywhere as those on the ground flee for their lives on foot, and leaving its survivors in a state of shock, then grief, then anger, and then a desire for retribution — through this turn of events, we come to identify more with the Na’vi than with the humans of the future, which is why we find ourselves cheering the Na’vi’s efforts to retaliate.
  • How does it compare with Cameron’s last film, “Titanic”?
    • I’m not sure I’d expect as much of a career-bounce for and/or celebrity obsession over stars Zoe Saldana and Sam Worthington as “Titanic” led to for Kate Winslet and Leonardo DiCaprio, primarily because Saldana’s face is submerged within a giant blue Na’vi’s for her entire performance, just as Worthington’s is for the majority of his.
    • The ending is a little happier this time around, as the bad guy dies (unlike Billy Zane) and the good guy lives (unlike DiCaprio) — ostensibly because Cameron and 20th Century Fox harbor hopes for making sequels if this first installment makes back its money, something that was obviously not an option for “Titanic.”
    • The film’s central song, Leona Lewis‘s “I See You” (which plays over the end credits), sounds similar to but is less catchy/memorable than Celine Dion‘s “My Heart Will Go On.”
    • Based on last week’s announcements of the Golden Globe and SAG nominees, it seems unlikely that this film will garner any acting nominations, as “Titanic” did for best actress (Kate Winslet) and best supporting actress (Gloria Stuart), but it might snag a nod for best original screenplay, which “Titanic” did not.
    • “Avatar” does, however, seem likely to pick up nods in most if not all of the other 12 categories in which “Titanic” was recognized (11 of which it won): picture WON, director WON, art direction WON, cinematography WON, costume design WON, film editing WON, makeup, original score WON, original song WON, sound editing WON, sound mixing WON, and visual effects WON.

Photo: James Cameron, modeling a pair of 3D glasses. Credit: Screen Rant.

LATE THOUGHTS ON THE SAG AWARDS NOMINATIONS

18 Dec

renner

renner

NOTEWORTHY INCLUSIONS

  • “An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9) for best ensemble, which really needed a shot of adrenaline like this after its exclusion from the HFPA’s best picture (drama) field earlier in the week. (Unfortunately, the performances of supporting actors Alfred Molina and Peter Sarsgaard were overlooked by both groups, so it looks like Carey Mulligan will be the film’s sole actor in contention at the Oscars.)
  • Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”) for best actor, who is in the best shape that a non-celeb actor’s actor in a critically-acclaimed movie could hope to be in at this point, having replicated the first two stops on “The Richard Jenkins Route to the Oscars”: HFPA snub for best actor (drama) + SAG embrace for best actor = AMPAS 5th slot for best actor.
  • Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”) for best supporting actor, who followed his HFPA nod with a SAG nod (he was the sole rep from his divisive film with both groups), and who, based on history, is therefore very likely to receive his first career Oscar nod. His biggest threat, oddly enough, is himself, as some of his fans may opt to support his work in “Julie & Julia” instead — but this early coalescence behind his work in “The Lovely Bones” will probably dissuade them from doing so.
  • Diane Kruger (“Inglourious Basterds”) for best supporting actress, easily the biggest surprise of the day, as past SAG nominees like Julianne Moore (“A Single Man”) and Samantha Morton (“The Messenger”) were thought to be much more likely candidates. As it turns out, the combination of her film’s popularity, her immense beauty, and the showy scenes that she shot under the direction of Quentin Tarantino (who has guided so many other unlikely actors to awards success) were enough to make it happen. I wouldn’t bet much on a repeat enagement, though: SAG tends to throw us at least one strange/stand-alone nod a year that doesn’t recur with AMPAS, and it usually comes in the supporting categories — just ask Catherine Kenner (“Into the Wild,” 2007) and Dev Patel (“Slumdog Millionaire,” 2008).

NOTEWORTHY EXCLUSIONS

  • “Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4) for best ensemble, although I wouldn’t worry too much about its Oscar prospects if I were the folks associated with it. Just two years ago, this category featured “3:10 to Yuma,” “American Gangster,” “Into the Wild,” and “Hairspray,” which the Academy prompty replaced in its best picture race with “Atonement,” “Juno,” “Michael Clayton,” and “There Will Be Blood.” While that is an extreme example of disagreement (the two groups tend to differ on only one or two films a year), it is nevertheless an illustrative one: SAG nom-com members must turn in their nomination ballots more than a month before Academy members, so they tend to support earlier releases that have already gained loud critical and/or commercial traction by the time their ballots are due, as opposed to films with later release dates that have yet to really take off. This situation is exacerbated by the fact that many SAG nom-com voters opt not to receive watermarked screeners (probably out of fear of punishment should one fall into the wrong hands), and the consequence is that many do not see late-season releases at all, since numerous studios refuse to send screeners without them (probably out of fear that a leaked screener could compromise their film’s still-ongoing theatrical release). Sources tell me that 900 of the 2100 people on this year’s SAG nom-com opted not to sign the paperwork required to receive screeners with watermarks, and that Paramount decided not to mail screeners of “Up in the Air” without them, so that may explain a lot. (For those who wonder how three of its actors still managed to get nominated if that’s the case, just note that there are fewer serious contenders in each acting category than in the ensemble category, and so it took fewer supporters of the film to make a dent in them.)
  • “A Serious Man” (Focus Features, 10/2) for best ensemble, which, with the HFPA best picture (musical or comedy) snub earlier in the week and now this, has suffered back-to-back hits to its best picture Oscar prospects that may prove impossible to overcome. At this point it’s on the bubble, but where is additional momentum supposed to come from? A WGA nod is to be expected; a DGA nod, which is not, might be its last best hope.
  • Daniel Day-Lewis (“Nine”) for best actor, although it’s not a total shock to see him miss the cut with SAG — over the past 20 years he has managed four nods and two wins from AMPAS, but only two nods (albeit both wins) from SAG. Maybe it’s because SAG tends to be less impressed with Brits? Who knows? It’s certainly a setback for Day-Lewis’s Oscar prospects, but not at all the end of the road.
  • Alfred Molina (“An Education”) for best supporting actor, who was, in all likelihood, going to need a bounce from SAG here to have any chance with AMPAS. He actually got a SAG nod seven years ago for “Frida” and it still wasn’t enough, so in a year in which (a) he doesn’t get one, (b) HFPA and SAG agreed on the same five nominees in his category, and (c) he’s eligible in the same category as his co-star with a larger part, Peter Sarsgaard, his prospects look pretty bleak.
  • Julianne Moore (“A Single Man”) for best supporting actress, who snagged an HFPA nod earlier in the week but got bounced by out-of-nowhere Diane Kruger at SAG — which had nominated her individual work five times in the past. Not a good sign for her or for the best picture prospects of a film that’s primary support will have to come from actors.

ODDITIES

  • The whole idea of SAG’s best ensemble category is confusing, as most consider it their version of “best picture,” when in fact it’s really intended to celebrate not the picture but the picture with the deepest cast. Therefore, it’s rather bizarre that several films failed to include really well-known cast members on the cast lists that they submitted for consideration… and even more bizarre that several of those films were still nominated! Inexplicably, “An Education,” which submitted seven names, excluded Cara Seymour, the noted character actress who plays Carey Mulligan’s mother; “The Hurt Locker,” which submitted five names, left off Ralph Fiennes, Guy Pearce, and Evangeline Lilly; “Nine,” which submitted eight names, exempted Ricky Tognazzi, the well-known Italian actor who plays Guido’s producer; and “Precious,” which submitted six names, chose not to include the young women who plays the title character’s classmates. To its credit, “Inglourious Basterds” opted for the other extreme, submitting 16 names, including cameo-performers Mike Myers and Rod Taylor (of “The Birds” fame) for what felt like only a line or two.

Photo: Jeremy Renner in “The Hurt Locker.” Credit: Summit Pictures.

RELATED:Instant Analysis: Golden Globe Nominations,” “SAG Awards Nominations Announced,” “To Have (and Have Not) Both an HFPA & SAG Nod,” “First Post-HFPA/SAG Oscar Projections

FLASH: FIRST POST-HFPA/SAG OSCAR PROJECTIONS!

17 Dec

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messenger

BEST PICTURE
Projected Nominees
[1] Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4, trailer)
[2] The Hurt Locker” (Summit, 6/26, trailer)
[3] Avatar” (20th Century Fox, 12/18, trailer)
[4] “Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company, 8/21, trailer)
[5] Precious” (Lions Gate, 11/6, trailer)
[6] “Invictus” (Warner Brothers, 12/11, trailer)
[7] Nine” (The Weinstein Company, 12/18, trailer)
[8] An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9, trailer)
[9] Up” (Disney, 5/29, trailer)
[10] The Messenger” (Oscilloscope, 11/13, trailer)
Major Threats
[11] A Serious Man” (Focus Features, 10/2, trailer)
[12] Julie & Julia” (Columbia, 8/7, trailer)
[13] “Star Trek” (Paramount, 5/8, trailer)
[14] 500 Days of Summer” (Fox Searchlight, 7/17, trailer)
[15] “It’s Complicated” (Universal, 12/25, trailer)
[16] Bright Star” (Apparation, 9/18, trailer)
[17] The Last Station” (Sony Pictures Classics, 12/23, trailer)
On the Outside
[18] The Blind Side” (Warner Brothers, 11/20, trailer)
[19] Sherlock Holmes” (Warner Brothers, 12/25, trailer)
[20] Brothers” (Lions Gate, 12/4, trailer)
[21] A Single Man” (The Weinstein Company, 12/11, trailer)
[22] Crazy Heart” (Fox Searchlight, 12/16, trailer)
[23] The Hangover” (Warner Brothers, 5/5, trailer)
[24] The Road” (The Weinstein Company, 11/25, trailer)
[25] The Lovely Bones” (Paramount, 12/11, trailer)
[26] District 9” (TriStar, 8/14, trailer)

BEST DIRECTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker”)
[2] Jason Reitman (Up in the Air”)
[3] James Cameron (Avatar”)
[4] Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds”)
[5] Lee Daniels (Precious”)
Major Threats
[6] Clint Eastwood (Invictus”)
[7] Rob Marshall (Nine”)
[8] Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (“A Serious Man”)
On the Outside
[9] Lone Scherfig (An Education”)
[10] Nora Ephron (Julie & Julia”)
[11] Peter Jackson (The Lovely Bones”)
[12] Pete Docter, Bob Peterson (Up”)
[13] Oren Moverman (The Messenger”)

BEST ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart”)
[2] George Clooney (Up in the Air”)
[3] Morgan Freeman (Invictus”)
[4] Colin Firth (“A Single Man”)
[5] Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”)
Major Threats
[6] Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine”)
[7] Ben Foster (The Messenger”)
[8] Michael Stuhlbarg (A Serious Man”)
[9] Robert Downey, Jr. (“Sherlock Holmes”)
On the Outside
[10] Tobey Maguire (Brothers”)
[11] Viggo Mortensen (The Road”)
[12] Matt Damon (The Informant!”)

BEST ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1] Carey Mulligan (An Education”)
[2] Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia”)
[3] Gabby Sidibe (Precious”)
[4] Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”)
[5] Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side)
Major Threats
[6] Emily Blunt (“The Young Victoria”)
[7] Marion Cotillard (“Nine”)
[8] Abbie Cornish (“Bright Star”)
On the Outside
[9] Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart”)
[10] Penelope Cruz (Broken Embraces”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds”)
[2] Woody Harrelson (The Messenger”)
[3] Christopher Plummer (The Last Station”)
[4] Matt Damon (“Invictus”)
[5] Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones)
Major Threats
[6] Alfred Molina (“An Education”)
[7] Alec Baldwin (“It’s Complicated”)
[8] Anthony Mackie (The Hurt Locker”)
On the Outside
[9] Christian McKay (Me and Orson Welles”)
[10] Jude Law (“Sherlock Holmes”)
[10] Peter Sarsgaard (An Education”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1] Mo’Nique (Precious”)
[2] Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”)
[3] Penelope Cruz (Nine”)
[4] Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air”)
[5] Julianne Moore (A Single Man”)
Major Threats
[6] Judi Dench (“Nine”)
[7] Diane Kruger (“Inglourious Basterds”) NEW
[8] Samantha Morton (“The Messenger”)
On the Outside
[9] Natalie Portman (“Brothers)
[10] Sigourney Weaver (Avatar”)
[11] Mariah Carey (“Precious”)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Projected Nominees
[1] Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner (Up in the Air”)
[2] Geoffrey Fletcher (Precious”)
[3] Nick Hornby (An Education”)
[4] Nora Ephron (Julie & Julia”)
[5] Wes Anderson, Noah Baumbach (“The Fantastic Mr. Fox”)
Major Threats
[6] Anthony Minghella, Michael Tolkin (“Nine”)
[7] Anthony Peckham (Invictus”)
[8] Tom Ford (“A Single Man”)
[9] David Benioff (Brothers”)
[10] Michael Hoffman (The Last Station”)
On the Outside
[11] Spike Jonze, Dave Eggers (“Where the Wild Things Are”)
[12] Scott Cooper (Crazy Heart”)
[13] Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh (The Lovely Bones”)
[14] Joe Penhall (The Road”)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Projected Nominees
[1] Mark Boal (“The Hurt Locker”)
[2] Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds”)
[3] Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (“A Serious Man”)
[4] Pete Docter, Bob Peterson (Up”)
[5] Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber (“500 Days of Summer”)
Major Threats
[6] Alessandro Camon, Oren Moverman (The Messenger”)
[7] Jane Campion (“Bright Star”)
[8] James Cameron (Avatar”)
On the Outside
[9] Nancy Myers (It’s Complicated”)
[10] Pedro Almodovar (“Broken Embraces”)

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Projected Nominees
[1] The Cove” (Roadside Attractions, 7/31, trailer)
[2] Food, Inc.” (Magnolia, 6/12, trailer)
[3] Valentino: The Last Emperor” (Acolyte, 3/18, trailer)
[4] The Beaches of Agnes” (Cinema Guild, 7/1, trailer)
[5] Every Little Step” (Sony Pictures Classics, 4/17, trailer)
Major Threats
[6] “Burma VJ” (Oscilloscope, 5/20, trailer)
[7] “The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers” (Kovno, 6/1, trailer)
[8] “Under Our Skin (Shadow, 6/19, trailer)
[9] “Garbage Dreams” (Iskander, 7/31, trailer)
[10] “Sergio” (Passion, 1/1, trailer)
On the Outside
[11] “Mugabe and the White African” (Explore, 8/7, trailer)
[12] “Facing Ali” (Lions Gate, 6/16, trailer)
[13] “Which Way Home” (HBO, 1/31, trailer)
[14] “Living in Emergency: Stories of Doctors Without Borders” (Red Floor, 8/14, trailer)
[15] “Soundtrack for a Revolution” (Freedom Song, 8/7, trailer)

Photo: Ben Foster and Woody Harrelson in “The Messenger.” Credit: Oscilloscope.

TO HAVE (AND HAVE NOT) BOTH AN HFPA & SAG NOD

17 Dec

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mariah

Over the past decade, there have been 16 performances nominated by both HFPA and SAG but not nominated by the Academy (one or two a year, on average):

  1. Jim Carrey (“Man on the Moon,” 1999) for best actor
  2. Cameron Diaz (“Being John Malkovich, 1999) for best supporting actress
  3. Hayden Christensen (“Life as a House,” 2001) for best supporting actor
  4. Cameron Diaz (“Vanilla Sky,” 2001) for best supporting actress
  5. Cate Blanchett (“Bandits,” 2002) for best actress or best supporting actress*
  6. Richard Gere (“Chicago,” 2002) for best actor
  7. Dennis Quaid (“Far From Heaven,” 2002) for best supporting actor
  8. Evan Rachel Wood (“Thirteen,” 2003) for best actress
  9. Maria Bello (“The Cooler,” 2003) for best supporting actress
  10. Paul Giamatti (“Sideways,” 2004) for best actor
  11. Russell Crowe (“Cinderella Man,” 2005) for best actor
  12. Ziyi Zhang (“Memoirs of a Geisha,” 2005) for best actress
  13. Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Departed,” 2006) for best actor or best supporting actor*
  14. Ryan Gosling (“Lars and the Real Girl,” 2007) for best actor
  15. Angelina Jolie (“A Mighty Heart,” 2007) for best actress
  16. Kate Winslet (“Revolutionary Road,” 2008) for best actress

*HFPA nominated for lead; SAG nominated for supporting

Over the past deacde, there have been 13 performances nominated by neither HFPA nor SAG but still nominated by AMPAS (one or two a year, on average):

  1. Toni Collette (“The Sixth Sense,” 1999) for best supporting actress
  2. Ed Harris (“Pollock,” 2000) for best actor
  3. Marcia Gay Harden (“Pollock,” 2000) for best supporting actress WON
  4. Samantha Morton (“In America,” 2003) for best actress
  5. Djimon Hounsou (“In America,” 2003) for best supporting actor
  6. Shohreh Aghdashloo (“House of Sand and Fog,” 2003) for best supporting actress
  7. Marcia Gay Harden (“Mystic River,” 2003) for best supporting actress
  8. Clint Eastwood (“Million Dollar Baby,” 2004) for best actor
  9. Alan Alda (“The Aviator,” 2004) for best supporting actor
  10. William Hurt (“A History of Violence,” 2005) for best supporting actor
  11. Tommy Lee Jones (“In the Valley of Elah,” 2007) for best actor
  12. Laura Linney (“The Savages,” 2007) for best actress
  13. Michael Shannon (“Revolutionary Road,” 2008) for best supporting actor

Considering those numbers, today’s SAG nominations represent…

GOOD NEWS for 2009 performances nominated by both HFPA and SAG (although, based on history, one or two of the following still will not get an Academy nod):

  • Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart”) for best actor
  • George Clooney (“Up in the Air”) for best actor
  • Colin Firth (“A Single Man”) for best actor
  • Morgan Freeman (“Invictus”) for best actor
  • Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side”) for best actress
  • Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”) for best actress
  • Carey Mulligan (“An Education”) for best actress
  • Gabby Sidibe (“Precious”) for best actress
  • Meryl Streep (“Julie & Julia”) for best actress
  • Matt Damon (“Invictus”) for best supporting actor
  • Woody Harrelson (“The Messenger”) for best supporting actor
  • Christopher Plummer (“The Last Station”) for best supporting actor
  • Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”) for best supporting actor
  • Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds”) for best supporting actor
  • Mo’Nique (“Precious”) for best supporting actress
  • Penelope Cruz (“Nine”) for best supporting actress
  • Vera Farmiga (“Up in the Air”) for best supporting actress
  • Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”) for best supporting actress

BAD NEWS for 2009 performances nominated by neither HFPA nor SAG (although, based on history, one or two of the following still will get an Academy nod):

  • Nicolas Cage (“Bad Lieutenant”) for best actor
  • Ben Foster (“The Messenger”) for best actor
  • James McAvoy (“The Last Station”) for best actor
  • Viggo Mortensen (“The Road”) for best actor
  • Abbie Cornish (“Bright Star”) for best actress
  • Penelope Cruz (“Broken Embraces”) for best actress
  • Maggie Gyllenhaal (“Crazy Heart”) for best actress
  • Michelle Monaghan (“Trucker”) for best actress
  • Saoirse Ronan (“The Lovely Bones”) for best actress
  • Alec Baldwin (“It’s Complicated”) for best supporting actor
  • Jake Gyllenhaal (“Brothers”) for best supporting actor
  • Jude Law (“Sherlock Holmes”) for best supporting actor
  • Anthony Mackie (“The Hurt Locker”) for best supporting actor
  • Alfred Molina (“An Education”) for best supporting actor
  • Christian McKay (“Me and Orson Welles”) for best supporting actor
  • Peter Sarsgaard (“An Education”) for best supporting actor
  • Paul Schneider (“Bright Star”) for best supporting actor
  • Mariah Carey (“Precious”) for best supporting actress
  • Judi Dench (“Nine”) for best supporting actress
  • Melanie Laurent (“Inglourious Basterds”) for best supporting actress
  • Samantha Morton (“The Messenger”) for best supporting actress
  • Paula Patton (“Precious”) for best supporting actress
  • Natalie Portman (“Brothers”) for best supporting actress
  • Sigourney Weaver (“Avatar”) for best supporting actress

MIXED NEWS for 2009 performances nominated for either HFPA or SAG:

  • Matt Damon (“The Informant!”) for best actor
  • Daniel Day-Lewis (“Nine”) for best actor
  • Robert Downey, Jr. (“Sherlock Holmes”) for best actor
  • Joseph Gordon-Levitt (“500 Days of Summer”) for best actor
  • Tobey Maguire (“Brothers”) for best actor
  • Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”) for best actor
  • Michael Stuhlbarg (“A Serious Man”) for best actor
  • Emily Blunt (“The Young Victoria”) for best actress
  • Sandra Bullock (“The Proposal”) for best actress
  • Marion Cotillard (“Nine”) for best actress
  • Julia Roberts (“Duplicity”) for best actress
  • Meryl Streep (“It’s Complicated”) for best actress
  • Diane Kruger (“Inglourious Basterds”) for best supporting actress
  • Julianne Moore (“A Single Man”) for best supporting actress

Photo: Best supporting actress hopeful Mariah Carey (“Precious”) is looking like a long-shot after snubs from the HFPA and SAG this week. Credit: Lions Gate.

SAG AWARDS NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCED

17 Dec

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ingl

Best Ensemble

  1. “An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9)
  2. “The Hurt Locker” (Summit, 6/26)
  3. “Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company, 8/21)
  4. “Nine” (The Weinstein Company, 12/18)
  5. “Precious” (Lions Gate, 11/6)

Best Actor

  1. Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart”)
  2. George Clooney (“Up in the Air”)
  3. Colin Firth (“A Single Man”)
  4. Morgan Freeman (“Invictus”)
  5. Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”)

Best Actress

  1. Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side”)
  2. Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”)
  3. Carey Mulligan (“An Education”)
  4. Gabby Sidibe (“Precious”)
  5. Meryl Streep (“Julie & Julia”)

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Matt Damon (“Invictus”)
  2. Woody Harrelson (“The Messenger”)
  3. Christopher Plummer (“The Last Station”)
  4. Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”)
  5. Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds”)

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Mo’Nique (“Precious”)
  2. Penelope Cruz (“Nine”)
  3. Vera Farmiga (“Up in the Air”)
  4. Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”)
  5. Diane Kruger (“Inglourious Basterds”)

Photo: Best supporting actress nominee Diane Kruger and co-stars in the best ensemble nominee “Inglourious Basterds.” Credit: The Weinstein Company.

FLASH: FINAL SAG AWARDS NOMINATIONS FORECAST

17 Dec

bridges

bridges

Best Ensemble

  1. “The Hurt Locker” (Summit, 6/26)
  2. “Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company, 8/21)
  3. “Nine” (The Weinstein Company, 12/18)
  4. “Precious” (Lions Gate, 11/6)
  5. “Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4)
  • Alt. “An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9), “A Serious Man” (Focus Features, 10/2)

Best Actor

  1. Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart)
  2. George Clooney (Up in the Air)
  3. Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine)
  4. Colin Firth (A Single Man)
  5. Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
  • Alt. Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker”), Ben Foster (“The Messenger)

Best Actress

  1. Emily Blunt (“The Young Victoria”)
  2. Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”)
  3. Carey Mulligan (“An Education”)
  4. Gabby Sidibe (“Precious”)
  5. Meryl Streep (“Julie & Julia”)
  • Alt. Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side”), Abbie Cornish (“Bright Star”)

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Matt Damon (“Invictus”)
  2. Woody Harrelson (“The Messenger”)
  3. Alfred Molina (“An Education”)
  4. Christopher Plummer (“The Last Station”)
  5. Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds”)
  • Alt. Alec Baldwin (“It’s Complicated”), Stanley Tucci (“Julie & Julia”)

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Mo’Nique (“Precious”)
  2. Penelope Cruz (“Nine”)
  3. Judi Dench (“Nine”)
  4. Vera Farmiga (“Up in the Air”)
  5. Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”)
  • Alt. Julianne Moore (“A Single Man”), Samantha Morton (“The Messenger”)

Photo: Jeff Bridges in “Crazy Heart.” Credit: Fox Searchlight.

MY GLOBES SCORECARD

16 Dec

A look at how my Golden Globes nomination forecast panned out — blue denotes a correct projection, strikethrough denotes an incorrect projection…

(more…)

FLASH: FIRST FORECAST FOR 2009 GOLDEN GLOBE AWARDS

15 Dec

up-in-the-air

up-in-the-air

Best Picture (Drama)

  1. “Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4)
  2. “Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company, 8/21)
  3. “Avatar” (20th Century Fox, 12/18)
  4. “The Hurt Locker” (Summit, 6/26)
  5. “Precious” (Lions Gate, 11/6)

Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)

  1. “Nine” (The Weinstein Company, 12/18)
  2. “It’s Complicated” (Universal, 12/25)
  3. “Julie & Julia” (Columbia, 8/7)
  4. “500 Days of Summer” (Fox Searchlight, 7/17)
  5. “The Hangover” (Warner Brothers, 6/5)

Best Director

  1. Jason Reitman (“Up in the Air”)
  2. Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds”)
  3. James Cameron (“Avatar”)
  4. Clint Eastwood (“Invictus”)
  5. Kathryn Bigelow (“The Hurt Locker”)

Best Actor (Drama)

  1. George Clooney (“Up in the Air”)
  2. Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart”)
  3. Colin Firth (“A Single Man”)
  4. Morgan Freeman (“Invictus”)
  5. Tobey Maguire (“Brothers”)

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)

  1. Daniel Day-Lewis (“Nine”)
  2. Robert Downey, Jr. (“Sherlock Holmes”)
  3. Joseph Gordon-Levitt (“500 Days of Summer”)
  4. Michael Stuhlbarg (“A Serious Man”)
  5. Matt Damon (“The Informant!”)

Best Actress (Drama)

  1. Carey Mulligan (“An Education”)
  2. Gabby Sidibe (“Precious”)
  3. Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side”)
  4. Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”)
  5. Emily Blunt (“The Young Victoria”)

Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)

  1. Meryl Streep (“Julie & Julia”)
  2. Meryl Streep (“It’s Complicated”)
  3. Marion Cotillard (“Nine”)
  4. Sandra Bullock (“The Proposal”)
  5. Julia Roberts (“Duplicity”)

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds”)
  2. Matt Damon (“Invictus”)
  3. Woody Harrelson (“The Messenger”)
  4. Christopher Plummer (“The Last Station”)
  5. Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”)

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Mo’Nique (“Precious”)
  2. Penelope Cruz (“Nine”)
  3. Vera Farmiga (“Up in the Air”)
  4. Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”)
  5. Julianne Moore (“A Single Man”)

Best Screenplay

  1. Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds”)
  2. Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner (“Up in the Air”)
  3. Mark Boal (“The Hurt Locker”)
  4. Nancy Meyers (“It’s Complicated”)
  5. Neil Bloomkamp, Terri Tatchell (“District 9”)

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. “A Prophet” (France)
  2. “Broken Embraces” (Spain)
  3. “The Maid” (Chile)
  4. “The White Ribbon” (Germany)
  5. “Baaria” (Italy)

Best Animated Feature Film

  1. “The Fantastic Mr. Fox” (Fox Searchlight, 11/25)
  2. “Up” (Disney, 5/29)
  3. “Coraline” (Focus Features, 2/6)
  4. “The Princess and the Frog” (Disney, 12/11)
  5. “Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs” (Columbia, 9/18)

Best Original Score

  1. James Horner (“Avatar”)
  2. Marvin Hamlisch (“The Informant!”)
  3. Michael Giacchino (“Up”)
  4. Carter Burwell, Karen Orzolek (“Where the Wild Things Are”)
  5. Abel Krozeniowski (“A Single Man”)

Best Original Song

  1. “I Want to Come Home” (“Everybody’s Fine”)
  2. “Winter” (“Brothers”)
  3. “I See You” (“Avatar”)
  4. “The Weary Kind” (“Crazy Heart”)
  5. “Cinema Italiano” (“Nine”)

Photo: Golden Globe nominees George Clooney and Vera Farmiga in “Up in the Air.” Credit: Paramount.

STAR OF GLOBE-NOM’D “THE MAID” ON GOTHAM WIN, FILM

15 Dec

Backstage at the Gotham Independent Film Awards on November 30, I caught up with the Chilean actress Catalina Saavedra (“The Maid”) just moments after she pulled off a shocking upset by winning the Breakthrough Actor Award over the much higher-profile actors Ben Foster (“The Messenger”), Patton Oswalt (“Big Fan”), and Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”), as well as Souleymane Sy Savane (“Goodbye Solo”). Considering that the last five winners of that honor — Catalina Sandino Moreno for “Maria Full of Grace” (2004), Amy Adams for “Junebug” (2005), Rinko Kikuchi for “Babel” (2006), Ellen Page for “Juno” (2007), and Melissa Leo for “Frozen River” (2008) — went on to garner Oscar nominations, and that Saavedra didn’t even have an agent at the beginning of the night, her win was a big deal!

Today, “The Maid” was nominated by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association for the Golden Globe for best foreign language film, so I thought now was as appropriate a time as any to share with you the video of my chat with Saavedra. In it, she shares her amazement at Gotham honor and the many others bestowed upon her performance (including a special jury prize at Sundance and a Satellite Award best actress nod) and she talks about the character she plays, Raquel, a woman who has served as a family’s live-in maid for 23 years but who feels like neither a member of the family nor a servant, but who, when the family decides to hire additional help, engages in a series of increasingly frantic acts to try to hold on to her position.

Video: Catalina Saavedra, Scott Feinberg, and Saavedra’s translator backstage at the 2009 Gotham Awards. Credit: Rob Perri (video), Dr. Harvey Kliman (post-production).

INSTANT ANALYSIS: GOLDEN GLOBE NOMINATIONS

15 Dec

hangover

hangover

NOTEWORTHY INCLUSIONS

  • “Avatar” (20th Century Fox, 12/18) for best picture (drama), especially since it was screened later than most other contenders, is a science-fiction film, and lacks the stars that normally attract HFPA support
  • “The Hangover” (Warner Brothers, 6/5) for best picture (musical or comedy), particularly considering the HFPA’s snubs other Apatovian frat-boy films
  • Tobey Maguire (“Brothers”) for best actor (drama), a nomination that I’m proud to say forecasted, and that is in no small way attributable to a lavish party that pal Leo DiCaprio threw in his honor last week that was attended by many HFPA who left with BluRay players in their gift bags
  • Michael Stuhlbarg (“A Serious Man”) for best actor (musical or comedy), which is mildly surprising not because he is unworthy but because he is still largely unknown
  • Julia Roberts (“Duplicity”) for best actress (musical or comedy), presumably snagging the fifth slot in this year’s ultra-thin category — we knew going in that they were going to have to stretch, but choosing her over, say, Zooey Deschanel (“500 Days of Summer”) is this year’s finest example of the star-whoring for which the HFPA is notorious
  • Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”) for best supporting actor, the sole representative of his film
  • Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell (“District 9″) for best screenplay

NOTEWORTHY EXCLUSIONS

  • “An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9) for best picture (drama)
  • “Invictus” (Warner Brothers, 12/11) for best picture (drama), although they already guaranteed that Eastwood, Freeman, and Damon would be in attendance with their individual nods, so why waste a perfectly good chance to get some other celebs to show up?
  • “A Serious Man” (Focus Features,” 10/2) for best picture (musical or comedy), which is particularly odd because they did like it enough to nominate it’s no-name lead
  • Lee Daniels (“Precious”) for best director
  • Rob Marshall (“Nine”) for best director
  • Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”) for best actor (drama), who was presumably bounced by Maguire, but can find some comfort in the fact that there’s almost always one Globe-snubbed lead actor who gets nominated by the Academy (last year it was Richard Jenkins for “The Visitor”), and he would seem to be the leading candidate this year
  • Bradley Cooper (“The Hangover”) for best actor (musical or comedy), which seems strange only because they liked his film enough to nominate it for best picture (musical or comedy), but then again it really is an ensemble piece
  • Abbie Cornish (“Bright Star”) for best actress (drama), who can find some consolation in the fact that there’s almost always one Globe-snubbed lead actress who gets nominated by the Academy (last year it was Melissa Leo for “Frozen River”), and she would seem to be the leading candidate this year
  • Zooey Deschanel (“500 Days of Summer”) for best actress (musical or comedy), whose exclusion seems particularly odd considering that nominations were bestowed upon her film pfor best picture (musical or comedy) and her co-star for best actor (musical or comedy)
  • Alec Baldwin (“It’s Complicated”) for best supporting actor, even though his film earned nods for best picture (musical or comedy), best actress (musical or comedy), and best screenplay
  • Judi Dench (“Nine”) for best supporting actress, particularly considering the fact that she’s an 8-time nominee and 2-time winner
  • Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber (“500 Days of Summer”) for best screenplay

SEEING DOUBLE

  • Everyone noticed that two nods were snagged by Sandra Bullock (best actress in a drama for “The Blind Side” and best actress in a musical or comedy for “The Proposal”), Matt Damon (best actor in a drama for “The Informant!” and best supporting actor for “Invictus”), and, for the second year in a row, Meryl Streep (best actress in a musical or comedy for both “It’s Complicated” and “Julie & Julia,” extending her record number of Globes nods to 25, 23 for films). But what you may not have noticed is that two of the best picture nominees — “Up in the Air” in drama and “500 Days of Summer” in musical or comedy — were lensed by the same cinematographer, Eric Steelberg. This ties a record established last year by Roger Deakins, who lensed two best picture nominees in the drama category, “The Reader” and “Revolutionary Road.”

FLYING AWAY WITH IT?

  • Speaking of which, “Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4) solidified its status as this season’s front-runner by racking up a field-leading 6 nominations — the film for best picture (drama), Jason Reitman for best director, George Clooney for best actor (drama), Vera Farmiga and Anna Kendrick for best supporting actress, and Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner for best screenplay.
  • The full nomination leaderboard: (6) “Up in the Air”; (5) “Nine”; (4): “Avatar,” “Inglourious Basterds”; (3) “The Hurt Locker,” “Invictus,” “Precious,” “It’s Complicated,” and “A Single Man”

ODDS AND ENDS

  • The last time that James Horner was nominated at the Globes for scoring a James Cameron film, it was 1997, the film was “Titanic,” and he won. (In the interim, he was nominated — and lost — for “A Beautiful Mind” in 2001.)
  • Every year since 2006, when the Globes established a category for best animated feature, the film that won the category was from Disney/Pixar. (The Academy has spread the wealth slightly — its 2006 winner was Warner Brothers’ “Happy Feet.”) Of this year’s five nominees, only one fits that bill: “Up” (Disney/Pixar, 5/29). Can the acclaimed “The Fantastic Mr. Fox” (Fox Searchlight, 11/25) — with its big-name director (Wes Anderson) voices from many big-name actors (the HFPA loves nothing more) — break that streak?

Photo: “The Hangover,” a Golden Globe nominee for best picture (musical or comedy). Credit: Warner Brothers.