19 Nov


The contenders that I am currently projecting for HFPA nominations are in red.

Best Picture (Drama)

  • “An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9)
  • “Avatar” (20th Century Fox, 12/18)
  • “Bright Star” (Apparition, 9/18)
  • “Crazy Heart” (Fox Searchlight, 12/16)
  • “The Hurt Locker” (Summit, 6/26)
  • “Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company, 8/21)
  • “Invictus” (Warner Brothers, 12/11)
  • “The Last Station” (Sony Pictures Classics, 12/23)
  • “The Lovely Bones” (Paramount, 12/11)
  • “Precious” (Lions Gate, 11/6)
  • “A Single Man” (The Weinstein Company, 12/11)
  • “Star Trek” (Paramount, 5/8)
  • “Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4)

Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)

  • “500 Days of Summer” (Fox Searchlight, 7/17)
  • “The Hangover” (Warner Brothers, 6/5)
  • “In the Loop” (IFC Films, 7/24)
  • “The Informant!” (Warner Brothers, 9/18)
  • “It’s Complicated” (Universal, 12/25)
  • “Julie & Julia” (Columbia, 8/7)
  • “The Men Who Stare at Goats” (Overture, 11/6)
  • “Nine” (The Weinstein Company, 12/18)
  • “The Proposal” (Disney, 6/19)
  • “A Serious Man” (Focus Features, 10/2)
  • “Sherlock Holmes” (Warner Brothers, 12/25)
  • “Up” (Disney, 5/29)

Best Director

  • Kathryn Bigelow (“The Hurt Locker”)
  • James Cameron (“Avatar”)
  • Jane Campion (“Bright Star”)
  • Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (“A Serious Man”)
  • Lee Daniels (“Precious”)
  • Clint Eastwood (“Invictus”)
  • Nora Ephron (“Julie & Julia”)
  • Tom Ford (“A Single Man”)
  • Peter Jackson (“The Lovely Bones”)
  • Rob Marshall (“Nine”)
  • Jason Reitman (“Up in the Air”)
  • Lone Scherfig (“An Education”)
  • Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds”)

Best Actor (Drama)

  • Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart”)
  • Nicolas Cage (“Bad Lieutenant”)
  • George Clooney (“Up in the Air”)
  • Colin Firth (“A Single Man”)
  • Ben Foster (“The Messenger”)
  • Morgan Freeman (“Invictus”)
  • James McAvoy (“The Last Station”)
  • Viggo Mortensen (“The Road”)
  • Clive Owen (“The Boys Are Back”)
  • Brad Pitt (“Inglourious Basterds”)
  • Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”)
  • Michael Sheen (“The Damned United”)
  • Ben Whishaw (“Bright Star”)

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)

  • Alec Baldwin (“It’s Complicated”)
  • Sacha Baron Cohen (“Bruno”)
  • Bradley Cooper (“The Hangover”)
  • Matt Damon (“The Informant!”)
  • Daniel Day-Lewis (“Nine”)
  • Robert De Niro (“Everybody’s Fine”)
  • Robert Downey, Jr. (“Sherlock Holmes”)
  • Zach Galifianakis (“The Hangover”)
  • Joseph Gordon-Levitt (“500 Days of Summer”)
  • Steve Martin (“It’s Complicated”)
  • Michael Stuhlbarg (“A Serious Man”)

Best Actress (Drama)

  • Emily Blunt (“The Young Victoria”)
  • Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side”)
  • Abbie Cornish (“Bright Star”)
  • Penelope Cruz (“Broken Embraces”)
  • Maggie Gyllenhaal (“Crazy Heart”)
  • Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”)
  • Michelle Monaghan (“Trucker”)
  • Carey Mulligan (“An Education”)
  • Michelle Pfeiffer (“Cheri”)
  • Saoirse Ronan (“The Lovely Bones”)
  • Gabby Sidibe (“Precious”)
  • Hilary Swank (“Amelia”)
  • Audrey Tautou (“Coco Before Chanel”)

Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)

  • Amy Adams (“Julie & Julia”)
  • Sandra Bullock (“The Proposal”)
  • Marion Cotillard (“Nine”)
  • Zooey Deschanel (“500 Days of Summer”)
  • Katherine Heigl (“The Ugly Truth”)
  • Ellen Page (“Whip It”)
  • Kristen Stewart (“Adventureland”)
  • Meryl Streep (“It’s Complicated”)
  • Meryl Streep (“Julie & Julia”)

Best Supporting Actor

  • George Clooney (“The Men Who Stare at Goats”)
  • Matt Damon (“Invictus”)
  • Woody Harrelson (“The Messenger”)
  • Jude Law (“Sherlock Holmes”)
  • Anthony Mackie (“The Hurt Locker”)
  • Alfred Molina (“An Education”)
  • Christopher Plummer (“The Last Station”)
  • Peter Sarsgaard (“An Education”)
  • Paul Schneider (“Bright Star”)
  • Stanley Tucci (“Julie & Julia”)
  • Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”)
  • Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds”)

Best Supporting Actress

  • Mo’Nique (“Precious”)
  • Mariah Carey (“Precious”)
  • Penelope Cruz (“Nine”)
  • Judi Dench (“Nine”)
  • Vera Farmiga (“Up in the Air”)
  • Stacey “Fergie” Ferguson (“Nine”)
  • Kate Hudson (“Nine”)
  • Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”)
  • Nicole Kidman (“Nine”)
  • Julianne Moore (“A Single Man”)
  • Samantha Morton (“The Messenger”)
  • Paula Patton (“Precious”)
  • Natalie Portman (“Brothers”)
  • Susan Sarandon (“The Lovely Bones”)
  • Sigourney Weaver (“Avatar”)
  • Betty White (“The Proposal”)

Photo: The cast of “Nine.” Credit: The Weinstein Company.

7 Responses

  1. alex 20. Nov, 2009 5:59 am #

    Pffeifer will go in Comedy

    And, Globes, put Up In The Air in comedy to hurt Nine
    (a film prefabricated to win some Oscar but directed
    but a cheap Bob Fosse: Rob Marshall)

  2. Andrew 21. Nov, 2009 8:01 am #

    So you think Bright Star will miss for Pic and Director? It seems to have gotten great reviews. Is there no awards campaigning or buzz for this film??

  3. Ed of Weho 22. Nov, 2009 8:23 pm #

    And the winners are:
    Best Picture Drama: Precious
    Best Picture Comedy: Julie and Julia
    Best Actor Drama: Colin Firth
    Best Actor Comedy: Robert Downey Jr
    Best Actress Drama: Garry Sidibe
    Best Actress Comedy: Meryl Streep for Julie & Julia
    Best Supporting Actor: Stanley Tucci
    Best Supporting Actress: Mariah Carey

  4. Jennifer 30. Nov, 2009 12:27 am #

    Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique

    HANDS DOWN!…Best performance of the year!

  5. Dan 05. Dec, 2009 1:18 am #

    I’m sorry, but has anyone who thinks that Mariah Carey has a chance of this even seen the movie? She is NOT good. It’s just the first time that audiences (perhaps anyone in the world ) has seen her without makeup in the past decade. Nothing more.

    To me, the order of performances among the supporting ladies of Precious go:

    Paula Patton

    Mariah Carey

  6. Eric 07. Dec, 2009 4:17 pm #

    If it was up to me Inglorious basterds lead actress was
    very good and very underrated and very good. Nice to
    see someone else respected that film. I must say these were
    great predictions for best picture with the exception of
    an education I’d like to see everbodys fine for best comedy
    to. And bronson hasn’t seen enough attention

  7. Eric 07. Dec, 2009 4:21 pm #

    The road!!!!!!!!!!

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