THIS WEEK’S PROJECTIONS
23 Oct
BEST PICTURE
Projected Nominees
[1] “Invictus” (Warner Brothers, 12/11)
[2] “Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4, teaser)
[3] “The Hurt Locker” (Summit, 6/26, trailer)
[4] “Precious” (Lions Gate, 11/6, trailer)
[5] “Nine” (The Weinstein Company, 12/18, trailer)
[6] “An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9, trailer)
[7] “The Lovely Bones” (Paramount, 12/11, trailer)
[8] “Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company, 8/21, trailer) ▲
[9] “Avatar” (20th Century Fox, 12/18, teaser)
[10] “Julie & Julia” (Columbia, 8/7, trailer)
Major Threats
[11] “A Serious Man” (Focus Features, 10/2, trailer) ▲
[12] “A Single Man” (The Weinstein Company, 12/11, trailer)
[13] “Up” (Disney, 5/29, trailer)
[14] “Bright Star” (Apparation, 9/18, trailer)
On the Outside
[15] “Where the Wild Things Are” (Warner Brothers, 10/16, trailer)
[16] “The Last Station” (Sony Pictures Classics, 12/23)
[17] “The Road” (The Weinstein Company, 11/25, trailer)
[18] “Amelia” (Fox Searchlight, 10/23, trailer) ▼
[19] “Capitalism: A Love Story” (Overture, 9/23, trailer)
BEST DIRECTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Clint Eastwood (“Invictus”)
[2] Jason Reitman (“Up in the Air”)
[3] Kathryn Bigelow (“The Hurt Locker”)
[4] Lee Daniels (“Precious”)
[5] Rob Marshall (“Nine”)
Major Threats
[6] Lone Scherfig (“An Education”)
[7] Peter Jackson (“The Lovely Bones”)
[8] Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds”) ▲
[9] James Cameron (“Avatar”)
[10] Nora Ephron (“Julie & Julia”)
On the Outside
[11] Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (“A Serious Man”) ▲
[12] Tom Ford (“A Single Man”)
[13] Pete Docter, Bob Peterson (“Up”)
[14] Jane Campion (“Bright Star”)
[15] Spike Jonze (“Where the Wild Things Are”)
[16] Michael Hoffman (“The Last Station”)
[17] John Hillcoat (“The Road”)
[18] Mira Nair (“Amelia”) ▼
[19] Michael Moore (“Capitalism: A Love Story”)
BEST ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Morgan Freeman (“Invictus”)
[2] George Clooney (“Up in the Air”)
[3] Colin Firth (“A Single Man”) ▲
[4] Daniel Day-Lewis (“Nine”)
[5] Michael Stuhlbarg (“A Serious Man”) ▲
Major Threats
[6] Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”)
[7] Viggo Mortensen (“The Road”)
[8] Matt Damon (“The Informant!”)
[9] Robert De Niro (“Everybody’s Fine”)
On the Outside
[10] Ben Foster (“The Messenger”) ▲
[11] Clive Owen (“The Boys Are Back”) ▼
[12] Hal Holbrook (“That Evening Sun”)
[13] Michael Sheen (“The Damned United”)
[14] Sam Rockwell (“Moon”) NEW
[15] James McAvoy (“The Last Station”)
[16] Mark Wahlberg (“The Lovely Bones”)
BEST ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1] Carey Mulligan (“An Education”)
[2] Meryl Streep (“Julie & Julia”)
[3] Gabby Sidibe (“Precious”)
[4] Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”)
[5] Abbie Cornish (“Bright Star”)
Major Threats
[6] Marion Cotillard (“Nine”)
[7] Saoirse Ronan (“The Lovely Bones”)
[8] Michelle Monaghan (“Trucker”)
[9] Emily Blunt (“The Young Victoria”) NEW
[10] Hilary Swank (“Amelia”) ▼
On the Outside
[11] Audrey Tautou (“Coco Before Chanel”)
[12] Penelope Cruz (“Broken Embraces”) ▼
[13] Michelle Pfeiffer (“Cheri”)
[14] Charlize Theron (“The Burning Plain”)
[15] Zooey Deschanel (“500 Days of Summer”)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds”) ▲
[2] Matt Damon (“Invictus”)
[3] Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”)
[4] Peter Sarsgaard (“An Education”)
[5] Alfred Molina (“An Education”)
Major Threats
[6] Woody Harrelson (“The Messenger”) ▲
[7] Anthony Mackie (“The Hurt Locker”) ▲
[8] Stanley Tucci (“Julie & Julia”)
[9] Christopher Plummer (“The Last Station”)
[10] Paul Schneider (“Bright Star”)
On the Outside
[11] George Clooney (“The Men Who Stare At Goats”)
[12] Paul Giamatti (“The Last Station”)
[13] Robert Duvall (“The Road”)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1] Mo’Nique (“Precious”)
[2] Penelope Cruz (“Nine”)
[3] Judi Dench (“Nine”)
[4] Julianne Moore (“A Single Man”) ▲
[5] Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”)
Major Threats
[6] Mariah Carey (“Precious”)
[7] Rachel Weisz (“The Lovely Bones”)
[8] Nicole Kidman (“Nine”)
[9] Paula Patton (“Precious”) NEW
On the Outside
[10] Vera Farmiga (“Up in the Air”)
[11] Betty White (“The Proposal”) NEW
[12] Susan Sarandon (“The Lovely Bones”)
[13] Patricia Clarkson (“Whatever Works”)
[14] Sigourney Weaver (“Avatar”)
[15] Samantha Morton (“The Messenger”)
BEST DOCUMENTARY
Projected Nominees
[1] “Capitalism: A Love Story” (Overture, 9/23, trailer)
[2] “Anvil! The Story of Anvil” (Abramorama, 4/10, trailer)
[3] “The Cove” (Roadside Attractions, 7/31, trailer)
[4] “Tyson” (Sony Pictures Classics, 4/24, trailer) ▲
[5] “Food, Inc.” (Magnolia, 6/12, trailer)
Major Threats
[6] “Racing Dreams” (TBA, TBA)
[7] “Every Little Step” (Sony Pictures Classics, 4/17, trailer) NEW
[8] “It Might Get Loud” (Sony Pictures Classics, 8/14, trailer)
On the Outside
[9] “Valentino: The Last Emperor” (Vitagraph, 3/18, trailer)
[10] “American Swing” (Magnolia, 3/27)
Photo: Christoph Waltz in “Inglourious Basterds.” Courtesy: The Weinstein Company.
Meryl Streep is a strong contender for Best Actress for Julie & Julia. She might be nominated for It’s Complicated as well this December. She is this year’s Kate Winslet. Sure winner for Best Actress category. If she wins the Golden Globe, she will get the Oscars.
We Live In Public should be on the doc list.
Betty White from “The Proposal”?!? Don’t get me wrong, I enjoyed the performance, but I just don’t understand how it could be justifiably an Oscar contender. I take it she is included here because of her age…
Marshall
http://marshallandthemovies.com
It would be nice to see Nicolas Cage getting some love for Bad Lieutenant.
why does the Valentino doc keep moving down?
Sometimes I feel this blog buys into the Hollywood hype too much.
Since August I see Amelia has moved from 3 to 8 to 14 and now 18.
Why do you try to predict so far in advance when the only
gauge you can go on is what the marketing machines tell you?
Emily Blunt is Outstanding as the Lead Role in “The Young Victoria”. She is a force to be reckon’d with in the Oscar Race..
Christian McKay should be on the Supporting Actor list for “Me and Orson Welles”.
Streep will go to supporting for Julia and Julia, and has two
Oscars. Let’s give Oscar to some terrific actresses that hasn’t
one and deserve one: Oscar for Michelle Pffeifer¡¡¡¡¡
Supporting actress to Julianne Mooore¡¡¡ Justice at the Oscars,please¡¡
I keep expecting to see some mention of Kristen Stewart’s performance in The Cake Eaters.
I did find the screenplay sluggish but the actors did a great job, especially Kristen.
I know it’s early, but I’m not getting the Waltz love.
I’m sure he will get nominated, but it doesn’t seem like a
Academy Award winning performance. I’m more inclined to go with
someone like Matt Damon or Stanley Tucci.