THIS WEEK’S PROJECTIONS
BEST PICTURE
Projected Nominees
[1] “Invictus” (Warner Brothers, 12/11)
[2] “Up in the Air” (Paramount, 12/4, teaser)
[3] “Nine” (The Weinstein Company, 12/18, trailer)
[4] “The Hurt Locker” (Summit, 6/26, trailer)
[5] “Precious” (Lions Gate, 11/6, trailer)
[6] “Avatar” (20th Century Fox, 12/18, teaser)
[7] “The Lovely Bones” (Paramount, 12/11, trailer)
[8] “An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/9, trailer)
[9] “Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company, 8/21, trailer)
[10] “A Single Man” (The Weinstein Company, 12/11, trailer) ▲
Major Threats
[11] “Julie & Julia” (Columbia, 8/7, trailer)
[12] “A Serious Man” (Focus Features, 10/2, trailer)
[13] “Up” (Disney, 5/29, trailer)
[14] “Amelia” (Fox Searchlight, 10/23, trailer)
On the Outside
[15] “The Road” (The Weinstein Company, 11/25, trailer)
[16] “Bright Star” (Apparation, 9/18, trailer)
[17] “The Last Station” (Sony Pictures Classics, 12/23)
[18] “Capitalism: A Love Story” (Overture, 9/23, trailer)
[19] “Fantastic Mr. Fox” (20th Century Fox, 11/13, trailer) ▼
BEST DIRECTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Clint Eastwood (“Invictus”)
[2] Jason Reitman (“Up in the Air”)
[3] Rob Marshall (“Nine”)
[4] Kathryn Bigelow (“The Hurt Locker”)
[5] Lee Daniels (“Precious”)
Major Threats
[6] James Cameron (“Avatar”)
[7] Peter Jackson (“The Lovely Bones”)
[8] Lone Scherfig (“An Education”)
[9] Quentin Tarantino (“Inglourious Basterds”)
[10] Tom Ford (“A Single Man”) ▲
On the Outside
[11] Nora Ephron (“Julie & Julia”)
[12] Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (“A Serious Man”)
[13] Pete Docter, Bob Peterson (“Up”)
[14] Mira Nair (“Amelia”)
[15] John Hillcoat (“The Road”)
[16] Jane Campion (“Bright Star”)
[17] Michael Hoffman (“The Last Station”)
[18] Michael Moore (“Capitalism: A Love Story”)
[19] Wes Anderson (“Fantastic Mr. Fox“) ▼
BEST ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Morgan Freeman (“Invictus”)
[2] George Clooney (“Up in the Air”)
[3] Daniel Day-Lewis (“Nine”)
[4] Colin Firth (“A Single Man”) ▲
[5] Viggo Mortensen (“The Road”)
Major Threats
[6] Jeremy Renner (“The Hurt Locker”)
[7] Clive Owen (“The Boys Are Back”)
[8] Robert De Niro (“Everybody’s Fine”)
[9] Michael Stuhlbarg (“A Serious Man”)
On the Outside
[10] Michael Sheen (“The Damned United”) NEW
[11] Ben Foster (“The Messenger”) NEW
[12] Hal Holbrook (“That Evening Sun”)
[13] James McAvoy (“The Last Station”)
[14] Matt Damon (“The Informant!”)
[15] Mark Wahlberg (“The Lovely Bones”)
BEST ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1] Carey Mulligan (“An Education”)
[2] Meryl Streep (“Julie & Julia”)
[3] Gabby Sidibe (“Precious”)
[4] Helen Mirren (“The Last Station”)
[5] Hilary Swank (“Amelia”)
Major Threats
[6] Marion Cotillard (“Nine”)
[7] Saoirse Ronan (“The Lovely Bones”)
[8] Michelle Monaghan (“Trucker”)
[9] Abbie Cornish (“Bright Star”)
[10] Penelope Cruz (“Broken Embraces”)
On the Outside
[11] Vera Farmiga (“Up in the Air”)
[12] Audrey Tautou (“Coco Before Chanel”)
[13] Charlize Theron (“The Burning Plain”)
[14] Michelle Pfeiffer (“Cheri”)
[15] Zooey Deschanel (“500 Days of Summer”)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Matt Damon (“Invictus”)
[2] Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds”)
[3] Stanley Tucci (“The Lovely Bones”)
[4] Peter Sarsgaard (“An Education”)
[5] Alfred Molina (“An Education”)
Major Threats
[6] Christopher Plummer (“The Last Station”)
[7] Woody Harrelson (“The Messenger”) NEW
[8] Paul Giamatti (“The Last Station”)
[9] Anthony Mackie (“The Hurt Locker”)
[10] Robert Duvall (“The Road”)
[11] Richard Gere (“Amelia”)
On the Outside
[12] Stanley Tucci (“Julie & Julia”)
[13] Paul Schneider (“Bright Star”)
[14] Richard Kind (“A Serious Man“)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1] Mo’Nique (“Precious”)
[2] Penelope Cruz (“Nine”)
[3] Nicole Kidman (“Nine”)
[4] Judi Dench (“Nine”)
[5] Anna Kendrick (“Up in the Air”)
Major Threats
[6] Julianne Moore (“A Single Man”)
[7] Rachel Weisz (“The Lovely Bones”)
[8] Mariah Carey (“Precious”)
[9] Susan Sarandon (“The Lovely Bones”)
On the Outside
[10] Sigourney Weaver (“Avatar”)
[11] Patricia Clarkson (“Whatever Works”)
[12] Melanie Laurent (“Inglourious Basterds”)
[13] Samantha Morton (“The Messenger”)
BEST DOCUMENTARY
Projected Nominees
[1] “Capitalism: A Love Story” (Overture, 9/23, trailer)
[2] “The Cove” (Roadside Attractions, 7/31, trailer)
[3] “Anvil! The Story of Anvil” (Abramorama, 4/10, trailer) ▲
[4] “Food, Inc.” (Magnolia, 6/12, trailer)
[5] “Tyson” (Sony Pictures Classics, 4/24, trailer)
Major Threats
[6] “Valentino: The Last Emperor” (Vitagraph, 3/18, trailer)
[7] “It Might Get Loud” (Sony Pictures Classics, 8/14, trailer)
On the Outside
[8] “Outrage” (Magnolia, 5/8, trailer)
[9] “American Swing” (Magnolia, 3/27)
Photo: James Cameron’s “Avatar.” Courtesy: 20th Century Fox.


Scott,
Why have you moved Streep into second position? I
think she is still the frontrunner to win…
Three Best Supporting Actress nominees from “Nine?” That seems like an awful lot, at least to me.
And I was under the impression that “Amelia” and “The Road” weren’t even factors anymore. I guess, according to you, maybe not…