Archive | December, 2005

EARLY GLOBES FORECAST

31 Dec

With just over two weeks to go before the Golden Globes are awarded and further confuse the race, I thought I’d put down in writing my early take on things, factoring in a combination of buzz, history, and gut feeling…

At the moment, the really tough categories are:
  • Best Actress (Drama): None are sure-bet nominees, though one assumes Huffman (who will benefit from her Desperate Housewives cult following) and Theron are the safest bets. Still, Bello‘s film appears to have resonated better with the HFPA than either of the other’s. One assumes Zhang is in contention for both the Globe and an Oscar nomination, but her chances have been hurt her film’s poor reception. Which leaves Paltrow as the real wild card—her buzz died out long ago, but mathematically she could still be in the Globes race, at the very least. When in doubt, I go with the candidate I feel most likely to get an Oscar nomination, as well, which is why I’m picking Huffman, with Theron as my backup.
  • Best Supporting Actor: All seem to be legitimate contenders except Ferrell. Clooney looked good early on, but Syriana is convoluted and did not go over well with the HFPA, so he is no lock, though he seems the favorite. Dillon—like last year’s winner, Clive Owen—will probably do no better than a nomination at the Oscars, if that, but he did have enough support to emerge from a crowded ensemble from Crash to get this nomination. Giamatti is a possibility, but I think Cinderella Man probably is too far in the past for his good, in terms of a win. I’m not encouraged by the fact that the film itself wasn’t nominated, either. This leaves Hoskins, who was adequate but not spectacular in Mrs. Henderson Presents… though that film was nominated. I’m going with Dillon on a hunch, with Giamatti as my backup, though I am not confident at all.
SCOTT PROJECTS…
Best Picture (Drama): Brokeback Mountain
Backup: Good Night, and Good Luck
Best Picture (Musical/Comedy): Walk the Line
Backup: The Squid and the Whale
Best Director:George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
Backup: Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Best Actor (Drama):Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Backup: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Best Actor (Musical/Comedy): Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
Backup: Jeff Daniels, The Squid and the Whale
Best Actress (Drama): Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Backup: Charlize Theron, North Country
Best Actress (Musical/Comedy): Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Backup: Keira Knightley, Pride and Prejudice
Best Supporting Actor: Matt Dillon, Crash
Backup: Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Best Supporting Actress: Rachel Weisz,The Constant Gardener
Backup: Scarlett Johansson, Match Point

ATWI… INTERVIEW SERIES

30 Dec

<center><u><b><i>ATWI…</i> INTERVIEW SERIES</b></u></center>

SMART AND SMARTER

IF YOU TAKE A MINUTE TO THINK ABOUT IT, FEW ACTORS OVER THE PAST TWO DECADES HAVE GIVEN AS MANY IMPRESSIVE PERFORMANCES AS JEFF DANIELS; NOW, IN THE SQUID AND THE WHALE, HE HAS DONE HIS BEST WORK YET


By Scott Feinberg

Jeff Daniels’ performance in the critically-acclaimed indie hit The Squid and the Whale has earned him the best reviews of his career and may yet earn him the first Oscar nomination of his distinguished twenty-five year career. In the film, Daniels, who is now fifty years old, plays Professor Bernard Berkman, husband of Laura Linney’s Joan and father of Jesse Eisenberg’s Walt and Owen Kline’s Frank. Bernard is a writer whose career is in a huge rut while his wife’s is only just beginning to take off. His bitterness and self-absorption push his wife away and into extra-marital relationships, inevitably resulting in a painful divorce. The film focuses on the impact of the family’s disintegration on the two young children, and the lack thereof on despicable Bernard. Time critic Richard Corliss has written, “As the underloved novelist, Daniels has created his masterpiece.” I had the opportunity to ask Daniels whether or not he agreed in an exclusive interview just days after the performance brought him his third career Golden Globe nomination.

“I think, from beginning to end, it’s the best thing I’ve done,” Daniels says. “I think there are certain sections of other movies—scenes in Purple Rose of Cairo, the Little Roundtop sequence in Gettysburg, and, you know, even some of the comic sequences in Dumb and Dumber… But, from beginning to end, it’s the best thing I’ve done.” If it sounds like Daniels is boasting, he’s not. Rarely have I encountered a humbler, more mind-mannered actor. Daniels was born in Atlanta, Georgia, but for decades has called Michigan home. He never really wanted any part of Hollywood. (He jokes that he doesn’t want his kids to go Easter egg hunting at Sly Stallone’s house.) He “came up through New York and off-Broadway at the Circle Repertoire Company” in the late seventies and early eighties before making his big screen debut in Ragtime, a 1981 film that allowed him to watch legends like Pat O’Brien, Donald O’Connor, and James Cagney at work. Though he had only “two or three” scenes in Ragtime, Daniels’ star clearly was on the rise, and he was cast as Debra Winger’s husband and Shirley MacLaine’s son-in-law in the 1983 Best Picture winner Terms of Endearment. It was the first less than likable character he has played, but far from the last.

In 1985, Daniels starred in Woody Allen’s fantasy The Purple Rose of Cairo, playing both movie star Tom Baxter, who literally walks off the screen in-character, as well as Gil Shepherd, the human actor who wants his fictional creation to go back ‘into’ the screen before it ruins his career. This remains one of Daniels’ favorite films. He says, “Halfway through The Purple Rose of Cairo, Woody Allen told me I was good. And for a young actor who is wondering whether he’ll make a career of this, when someone like Woody Allen tells you you’re good—it was a turning point for me. And I remember going back to the apartment thinking, ‘I know I’m going to be able to make a living in this business. You know, if I’m good enough for Woody, I’m good enough for everybody.’ And that was just a huge turning point for me, just psychologically.”

The Purple Rose of Cairo brought Daniels his first Golden Globe nomination for Best Actor and widespread speculation that he would also be nominated for an Academy Award. He was not, but his career continued to soar, nonetheless. The following year, he starred in the quirky comedy Something Wild, playing a simple business taken on a wild ride by Melanie Griffith. But, at a time when most expected Daniels to cash in on his good looks and large paychecks to become a full-fledged star, he and his wife made a life-changing decision. “We wanted to raise the kids in Michigan… Kathleen and I were both from Michigan. It was familiar and, most importantly, it was what we considered to be home. So that’s where we went. And after, you know, half a dozen movies that was the choice we made. I mean, I knew then it would cost me money, it would cost me roles, and—but it was family first, career second, and we just stuck to that. And what that meant was that I was going to be more of an actor and less of a star. And, to be honest, I was trained to be an actor. I wasn’t trained to be a star.”

In the years since, Daniels has joined a select group of actors who are regularly cast in important roles despite living outside of California or New York. While he may not have become the huge box-office star some once expected, he is one of the most respected actors in the business, having made strong impressions in big studio films and indie hits alike, including Gettysburg (1993), Speed (1994), Dumb and Dumber (1994), Fly Away Home (1996), 101 Dalmatians (1996), Pleasantville (1998), Blood Work (2002), The Hours (2002), and this year’s Good Night, and Good Luck.

Last year, Daniels came across a script from young writer Noah Baumbach, who is best known for co-writing last year’s quirky The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou with Wes Anderson. Immediately, Daniels says, he “chased” after the part, because he “knew that they were having trouble casting the male lead. There was some reluctance from a couple of guys, which is kind of standard operating procedure for me. It’s usually in somebody else’s hands and I gotta kind of swoop in… I was shooting Because of Winn-Dixie in Louisiana and I flew to New York and met with Noah.” Daniels remembers observing of the script, “Amidst all the pain and tragedy of this screenplay, there is a lot of comedy… This is very funny.” Baumbach appreciated that, telling him he was the first person to read the script that way. Daniels was cast shortly thereafter.

Despite the film’s miniscule budget and lack of a distributor at the time, Daniels was delighted to be cast. With pleasure, he grew a beard for and wore 1980s clothing during the “intense” twenty-three day shoot. “It was such a great role. It was so tricky. I mean, there’s failure written all over that thing—you know, you can play him too much as a monster, or you can try to reach for sympathy… We just settled on playing, you know, Bernard is who Bernard is. And right or wrong, good or bad, he thinks he’s doing the right thing. And you just stick to that. And there’s just this guy who probably is a brilliant writer who is underappreciated, but as a father and a husband, he’s this kind of abysmal failure and, to be honest, he’s oblivious to it. And, so, it was fun to play. And also, not once did we ever sit down and go, ‘By the way, can we make him sympathetic and likable?’ We never had that conversation. And yet, I think what the success of the performance and the movie, I guess, is, is that, in part, you do feel for the guy and you do understand that there’s some pain underneath his actions. And, if only—you know, you wonder how much of it he’s aware of and how much of it he isn’t.”

Daniels’ character, Bernard, was partly based on Noah Baumbach’s father, the writer and professor Jonathan Baumbach. “I was actually wearing some of Jonathan’s clothes, which I think Jonathan has had since the eighties,” Daniels remarks. He emphasizes “there is a lot of fiction in the movie, to be very fair to Jonathan.” Noah Baumbach wrote the part of Bernard “with his father’s voice and the cadence and the kind of musicality of the way his father speaks. And so when I went and met with him, you could hear that. And suddenly the script—you could hear the cadence in the script. There were certain mannerisms and attitudes about writing that he’s got. I mean, he teaches writing. And I was able to kind of, you know, take that and put it into the movie. I know a few other writers, and I also have written myself, so that was kind of the end of Jonathan in me and what I took from him. And then I kinda had to find a way to make it true to me.”

Interestingly, Daniels says two elements of his own life, in particular, proved useful for his characterization of Bernard. Fifteen years ago, Daniels built The Purple Rose Theater (named after the film) out in Michigan. Daniels, who directs and writes plays and songs for the professional company, explains, “We really focus on doing new American plays and, you know, taking playwrights and producing their work… It’s been a wonderful labor of love for me.” He adds, “Because I’m a playwright, I know what the writer’s mind is. I know that you can become locked into your own head, and so absorbed in what you’re writing that the next thing you know you’re self-absorbed. And Bernard can’t make that distinction.”

Also, Daniels says, “Bernard is—and I think Jonathan is, in a lot of ways—underappreciated as a writer. And, you know, again—I moved back to Michigan, so I’m very aware of where I am in the, you know, scheme of Hollywood and all of that, the pecking order… So there’s an under-appreciation factor that kind of comes with what I do. It’s not a huge deal, but it’s there. And so, for me, I just took that part of me and just kind of poured gasoline on it and lit it. And that’s how Bernard feels. I mean, Bernard just rages at how underappreciated he is… ‘Sad’ is the word I keep going back to with Bernard. There’s a sadness there.”

Daniels, asked how Jonathan Baumbach responded to the naked portrait of him that had been painted by his own son, says, “He understands that you write strengths and weaknesses in order to have a balanced character. And, again, some of it was based on Jonathan and some of it never happened… I was there in New York at the New York premiere when he saw it. And, you know, he put his arm around Noah and said, “I’m very proud of you.” It takes a lot. That took a lot for Jonathan to do that. You know, whatever their deal is is their deal. But, when he saw it, he was proud that Noah had written such an honest portrayal of a family.”

A recurrent theme throughout Daniels’ career has been his unparalleled ability to work with young people and animals. In The Squid and the Whale, he worked with Jesse Eisenberg, who plays his sixteen year old son (but is really twenty-two) and Owen Kline, actor Kevin’s son, who plays his twelve year old son (though he is really fourteen). Daniels says, “Laura and I worked really hard to kind of have the feeling that the four of us were a unit. Four actors all equal off camera. And we just, we made sure that whenever we were with those two guys that they felt comfortable around us. You know, they were both professionals—they worked very hard, and they always showed up on time, and they knew their lines. That was wonderful. And that made it easy to kind of become a four-person, you know, unit. And, then, what happens is then you get in front of the camera, and that unit of four actors now turns into a family. And it’s just a little kind of psychological transference so that they’re comfortable with us. And it shows on camera. You know, they call it N.A.R.—No Acting Required. And the more you can do that with kids, or younger actors, the better. That’s kind of what I learned doing Fly Away Home and various other movies. You really want it so that when the kid looks at you, they trust you. That’s important.”

All of the actors in the film, regardless of age, develop their characters to the extent that they really seem real, and I know that I was not alone in wondering what became of them after the credits rolled. Daniels, asked for his take, responds, “Well, I love the ending because the audience then walks out talking about it. And it’s open to interpretation. I think if they really look at those last shots of Jesse in front of ‘The Squid and the Whale,’ I think they’ll see a guy that’s gonna be okay. They don’t know what he’s going to do, where he’s gonna go. But he’s gonna be okay… You know, we don’t put a lot of ribbons around things at the end. We don’t resolve everything. But I think you walk away with the feeling that Jesse—Walt—thinks, ‘You know what, I’m gonna be okay.’ He can stand in front of an exhibit that scared the hell out of him, much like he no longer is scared by the divorce and the family and all of that. He’s gotta move on.”

Inevitably, our conversation turned to the awards season, and what an Oscar nomination would mean to Daniels, who was refreshingly honest in his response. “Things like, you know, the Oscar nomination—it means a lot more now than it would have, perhaps, back, you know, when I was in my twenties or thirties. I just, I appreciate the attention. Like every career, in anyone’s career there are good years and not-so-good years. And when it’s good, you need to enjoy it. And the credibility that comes with a nomination, you know, it does mean a lot. And it would mean a lot. Certainly, now that I’m in my fifties, I’m appreciating every moment of this, you know, for as long as it lasts. You know, I look at the Oscars as a celebration of a lot of great work. And, you know, it’s less a competition and more of a celebration. And I’m just glad to be—up to this point—invited to the party.”

I also tested Daniels with a question I’ve asked other nominees with whom I’ve spoken: Who, of his sex but not from his film, gave the best performance he had seen this year? I chuckled to myself, because Daniels stumbled on this one: “Um… I haven’t gone through all the movies yet. Oh, man. I was gonna say [TV actor] Ricky Gervais, Extras. Um… You know who I really like? Well… no, I shouldn’t say that…” I am fairly confident he wanted to say his Good Night, and Good Luck co-star David Strathairn, or Eric Bana, Russell Crowe, or Terrence Howard. But he realized that advocating for one of them might hurt his own chances for a nomination—at the moment, he is widely perceived to be among that group competing for the spots not filled by Philip Seymour Hoffman, Joaquin Phoenix, and Heath Ledger, the presumptive locks in the category. Daniels recovered nicely and said, “Oh, I like—I really like what George Clooney did in Syriana.” Clooney is competing in the supporting category.

Before ending our discussion, I pressed Daniels for an answer on who in the industry he most respects and who he would most like to work with—I felt his answer, as a Hollywood outsider, might speak volumes. Without a moment’s hesitation, he cited Clint Eastwood as the person he most respected. (He recently released an album with a song called “Dirty Harry Blues” dedicated to his Blood Work director.) As for who he’d most like to work with, he cited the late comedian Peter Sellers. Daniels strongly defended comedy as an art form equal to drama or tragedy, though he fears many critics and voters do not share his view. He thought for a moment and added, “I would love to have been directed by Preston Sturges.” It struck me as a good pairing, and I mentioned he would have been great in a Sturges movie like Sullivan’s Travels (1941), in which a comedy director (Joel McCrea) wants to make ‘important’ films about social problems, only to conclude after many trials and travails that comedy serves a great purpose, after all. “Oh my God, I would have loved to have been part of just one those movies,” Daniels responds.

Whether or not one agrees with Daniels that there is anything funny about The Squid and the Whale, few disagree that it is a spectacular film. It has received a 95% favorable rating on rottentomatoes.com, and for a film that had no distributor when it was made, it has done very well commercially for Samuel Goldwyn Films, which bought it after the Sundance Film Festival. Daniels sums it up best: “The Squid and the Whale has been just a wonderful ride, and I’m getting phone calls from a lot of great people already. So I look forward to the next five to ten years. It’s nice to have a career that lasts decades. And it looks like I’m gonna grab another decade.” That… and perhaps his first Oscar nomination.

WEEKLY PROJECTIONS

28 Dec

BEST PICTURE
Projected Nominees
[1] Brokeback Mountain

[2] Munich

[3]
Walk the Line
[4]
Good Night, and Good Luck

[5] Cinderella Man

In Contention
[6]
Crash, [7] The Constant Gardener, [8] The Squid and the Whale, [9] Match Point, [10] King Kong, [11] Capote, [12] A History of Violence
Dark Horses
[13] The Producers, [14] The Family Stone, [15] The White Countess, [16] Mrs. Henderson Presents, [17] Memoirs of a Geisha, [18] Pride and Prejudice
Not Forgotten

[19] The New World, [20] Syriana, [21] Breakfast on Pluto, [22] The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada, [23] Hustle and Flow

For other categories…
BEST DIRECTOR

Projected Nominees
[1] Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
[2] Steven Spielberg (Munich)
[3]
George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)
[4] James Mangold (Walk the Line)
[5] Peter Jackson (King Kong)
In Contention
[6] Fernando Meirelles (The Constant Gardener), [7] Woody Allen (Match Point), [8] David Cronenberg (A History of Violence), [9]
Bennett Miller (Capote), [10] Ron Howard (Cinderella Man), [11] Paul Haggis (Crash)

Dark Horses
[12] Noah Baumbach (The Squid and the Whale), [13] James Ivory (The White Countess), [14] Stephen Frears (Mrs. Henderson Presents), [15] Rob Marshall (Memoirs of a Geisha)
Not Forgotten
[15] Stephen Gaghan (Syriana), [16] Terence Malick (The New World), [17] Susan Stroman (The Producers), [18] Tommy Lee Jones (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada)


BEST ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1]
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
[2]
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
[3] Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
[4] Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man)
[5] Jeff Daniels (The Squid and the Whale)

In Contention
[6] David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck), [7] Terrence Howard (Hustle and Flow), [8] Eric Bana (Munich)
Dark Horses
[9]
Ralph Fiennes (The Constant Gardener), [10] Jonathan Rhys-Meyers (Match Point), [11] Cillian Murphy (Breakfast on Pluto), [12] Steve Carrell (The 40 Year Old Virgin), [13] Nathan Lane (The Producers), [14] Tommy Lee Jones (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada), [15] Ralph Fiennes (The White Countess)
Not Forgotten
[15] Bill Murray (Broken Flowers), [16] Viggo Mortensen (A History of Violence), [17] Anthony Hopkins (The World’s Fastest Indian)


BEST ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1]
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
[2]
Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
[3]
Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice)
[4]
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
[5]
Ziyi Zhang (Memoirs of a Geisha)
In Contention
[6] Charlize Theron (North Country),
[7] Juliette Binoche (Cache), [8] Sarah Jessica Parker (The Family Stone), [9] Natasha Richardson (The White Countess), [10] Naomi Watts (King Kong)
Dark Horses
[11]
Vera Farmiga (Down to the Bone), [12] Joan Allen (Upside of Anger), [13] Gwyneth Paltrow (Proof), [14] Q’Orianka Kilcher (The New World)
Not Forgotten
[15] Claire Danes (Shopgirl), [16] Renee Zellweger (Cinderella Man)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1]
Jake Gyllenhaal (Brokeback Mountain)
[2]
George Clooney (Syriana)
[3] Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
[4]
Bob Hoskins (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
[5] Matt Dillon (Crash)
In Contention
[6] William Hurt (A History of Violence), [7] Terrence Howard (Crash),
[8] Geoffrey Rush (Munich), [9] Matthew Broderick (The Producers), [10] Barry Pepper (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada)
Dark Horses
[11] Craig T. Nelson (The Family Stone), [12] Jeffrey Wright (Syriana), [13] Christopher Plummer (The New World), [14]
Will Ferrell (The Producers), [15] Peter Sarsgaard (Jarhead)
Not Forgotten
[16]
Clifton Collins Jr. (Capote), [17] Don Cheadle (Crash), [18] Kevin Costner (Upside of Anger), [19] Jamie Foxx (Jarhead), [20] Frank Langella (Good Night, and Good Luck), [21] George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck), [22] Jesse L. Martin (Rent), [23] Ken Watanabe (Memoirs of a Geisha)



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Projected Nominees
[1]
Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)
[2] Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)
[3]
Scarlett Johansson (Match Point)
[4] Gong Li (Memoirs of a Geisha)
[5] Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
In Contention
[6] Laura Linney (The Squid and the Whale), [7] Shirley MacLaine (In Her Shoes)
,
[8] Diane Keaton (The Family Stone), [9] Catherine Keener (Capote), [10] Amy Adams (Junebug), [11] Frances McDormand (North Country)
Dark Horses
[12]
Vanessa Redgrave (The White Countess), [13] Uma Thurman (The Producers), [14] Anne Hathaway (Brokeback Mountain)
Not Forgotten
[15] Emily Mortimet (Match Point), [16] Rosario Dawson (Rent), [17] Rachel McAdams (The Family Stone)
, [18] Michelle Yeoh (Memoirs of a Geisha), [19] Thandie Newton (Crash), [20] Brenda Blethyn (Pride and Prejudice)

DEGENERES SHOULD HOST

28 Dec

<b>DEGENERES SHOULD HOST</b>

Usually around this time of the year, we have already learned who the host of the Academy Awards will be. That is, in large part, because the probable contenders have been identified, and also because it usually takes more than ten weeks to prepare a funny show. But two of the favorites to host this year, last year’s host Chris Rock and frequent former host Billy Crystal, have withdrawn their names from consideration. While some are panicking, to the point of advocating for William Shatner or Nathan Lane to host, I say “Carpe Diem!” Think about it…



Ellen DeGeneres, perhaps the most liked female comedian in America, should be named the host. DeGeneres is not only hilarious about an endless number of subjects, but she also is comfortable joking about herself. In a year in which “Brokeback Mountain” (the story of two gay cowboys, as many call it, fairly or unfairly) is likely to carry the most nominations, including several in the major categories, Ellen would be able to handle the matter with the humor—and respect—it deserves. And I know she’d be great on the many other sure-fire targets for jokes—”Kong,” “Narnia,” “The Producers,” “A History of Violence,” “The 40 Year Old Virgin,” and “March of the Penguins.”



In a year in which the moviegoing public has been presented with a tolerant, respectful portrait of homosexuality, it’s time for the Academy to respond in kind. Ultimately, the Academy should pick Ellen not because she is a homosexual or a woman, but because, above all, she is the person who will do the best job.

SCOTT FEINBERG ANNOUNCES 2005 TOP 10 LIST

26 Dec

TOP 10

1. The Squid and the Whale
2.
Crash
3. March of the Penguins
4. Cinderella Man
5. Pride and Prejudice
6. Ballet Russes
7.
Munich
8. Murderball
9. Sin City
10. The Constant Gardener

WEEKLY PROJECTIONS

24 Dec


With ten weeks to go before the 78th Academy Awards, there are only a few sure-fire bets among the lot. This week’s changes primarily can be accounted for by a 24 hour, 5 movie binge I engaged in beginning Friday evening and ending Saturday evening in New York City. I was in the Big Apple to interview 1947 Best Supporting Actress Celeste Holm and decided to spend the night as part of what has become sort of an annual ritual for me… catch some rumored Oscar contenders there, since it is often weeks before they make it to the smaller towns and cities like my own. So, having now checked off Mrs. Henderson Presents (B-), Syriana (C), Munich (A), Transamerica (C-), and The Family Stone (C+), here is how I see things in the Big 6 categories…

BEST PICTURE

Projected Nominees
[1] Munich
[2] Brokeback Mountain
[3] Good Night, and Good Luck
[4] Walk the Line
[5] Cinderella Man


In Contention
[6]
Match Point, [7] The Constant Gardener, [8] Crash, [9] King Kong, [10] Capote, [11] The Squid and the Whale, [12] A History of Violence, [13] The Producers
Dark Horses
[14] The Family Stone, [15] The White Countess, [16] Mrs. Henderson Presents, [17] Memoirs of a Geisha, [18]
Pride and Prejudice
Not Forgotten

[19] The New World, [20] Syriana, [21] Breakfast on Pluto, [22] The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada, [23] Hustle and Flow

For other categories…


BEST DIRECTOR

Projected Nominees
[1] Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
[2] Steven Spielberg (Munich)
[3]
George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)
[4] Woody Allen (Match Point)
[5] Peter Jackson (King Kong)
In Contention
[6] James Mangold (Walk the Line), [7] Fernando Meirelles (The Constant Gardener), [8] David Cronenberg (A History of Violence), [9]
Bennett Miller (Capote), [10] Ron Howard (Cinderella Man), [11] Paul Haggis (Crash)

Dark Horses
[12] Noah Baumbach (The Squid and the Whale), [13] James Ivory (The White Countess), [14] Stephen Frears (Mrs. Henderson Presents), [15] Rob Marshall (Memoirs of a Geisha)
Not Forgotten
[15] Stephen Gaghan (Syriana), [16] Terence Malick (The New World), [17] Susan Stroman (The Producers), [18] Tommy Lee Jones (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada)


BEST ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1]
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
[2]
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
[3] Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
[4] Eric Bana (Munich)
[5]
Terrence Howard (Hustle and Flow)
In Contention
[6] David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck), [7] Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man), [8] Jeff Daniels (The Squid and the Whale)
Dark Horses
[9]
Jonathan Rhys-Meyers (Match Point), [10] Ralph Fiennes (The White Countess), [11] Cillian Murphy (Breakfast on Pluto), [12] Steve Carrell (The 40 Year Old Virgin), [13] Nathan Lane (The Producers), [14] Tommy Lee Jones (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada), [15] Ralph Fiennes (The Constant Gardener)
Not Forgotten
[15] Bill Murray (Broken Flowers), [16] Viggo Mortensen (A History of Violence), [17] Anthony Hopkins (The World’s Fastest Indian)


BEST ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1]
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
[2]
Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
[3]
Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice)
[4]
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
[5]
Ziyi Zhang (Memoirs of a Geisha)
In Contention
[6] Charlize Theron (North Country),
[7] Juliette Binoche (Cache), [8] Sarah Jessica Parker (The Family Stone), [9] Natasha Richardson (The White Countess), [10] Naomi Watts (King Kong)
Dark Horses
[11]
Vera Farmiga (Down to the Bone), [12] Joan Allen (Upside of Anger), [13] Gwyneth Paltrow (Proof), [14] Q’Orianka Kilcher (The New World)
Not Forgotten
[15] Claire Danes (Shopgirl), [16] Renee Zellweger (Cinderella Man)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1]
Jake Gyllenhaal (Brokeback Mountain)
[2]
George Clooney (Syriana)
[3] Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
[4]
Bob Hoskins (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
[5] Matt Dillon (Crash)
In Contention
[6] William Hurt (A History of Violence), [7] Terrence Howard (Crash), [8] Matthew Broderick (The Producers),
[9] Barry Pepper (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada), [10] Geoffrey Rush (Munich)
Dark Horses
[11] Craig T. Nelson (The Family Stone), [12] Jeffrey Wright (Syriana), [13] Christopher Plummer (The New World), [14] Peter Sarsgaard (Jarhead), [15] Clifton Collins Jr. (Capote)
Not Forgotten
[16] Will Ferrell (The Producers),
[17] Don Cheadle (Crash), [18] Kevin Costner (Upside of Anger), [19] Jamie Foxx (Jarhead), [20] Frank Langella (Good Night, and Good Luck), [21] George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck), [22] Jesse L. Martin (Rent), [23] Ken Watanabe (Memoirs of a Geisha)



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Projected Nominees
[1] Scarlett Johansson (Match Point)
[2]
Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)
[3]
Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)
[4] Gong Li (Memoirs of a Geisha)
[5] Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
In Contention
[6] Laura Linney (The Squid and the Whale), [7] Diane Keaton (The Family Stone), [8] Shirley MacLaine (In Her Shoes)
,
[9] Catherine Keener (Capote), [10] Emily Mortimer (Match Point)
Dark Horses
[11] Vanessa Redgrave (The White Countess), [12] Uma Thurman (The Producers), [13] Amy Adams (Junebug), [14] Frances McDormand (North Country), [15] Anne Hathaway (Brokeback Mountain)
Not Forgotten
[16] Rosario Dawson (Rent), [17] Rachel McAdams (The Family Stone)
, [18] Michelle Yeoh (Memoirs of a Geisha), [19] Thandie Newton (Crash), [20] Brenda Blethyn (Pride and Prejudice)

CAN YOU DIG IT?

19 Dec

Folks, perhaps the strongest, toughest category this year is Best Actor, with only Philip Seymour Hoffman, Joaquin Phoenix, and Heath Ledger looking like sure-bets… which leads to this morning’s revelation… Steve Carell of The 40 Year Old Virgin apparently has quite a bit of support for a nomination… seriously! After Rachel Weisz told me in an interview two days ago that she felt Carell gave the best performance of the year (adding, when I chuckled, “I’m not joking!”), I started asking a few other voters. I’m not saying he’s a lock or even a strong likelihood, but my sense is that we (and Terrence Howard, Russell Crowe, Eric Bana, and others) should keep him and his hilarious performance on our radar…

BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN, THE SHORT STORY

18 Dec

After offering my reactions to Brokeback Mountain on another site, several readers recommended I read E. Annie Proulx‘s short story upon which the film is based. I thank them for the suggestion, because after tracking it down online and reading it, I have a clearer sense both of what I liked and disliked about the plot and characters. For anyone else who cares to look over the 17-page story, which is just as moving as the film, if not more so, it can be found at http://angelasolis.ph/inarage/images/brokeback_mountain.pdf.

WEEKLY PROJECTIONS

18 Dec


With eleven weeks to go before the 78th Academy Awards, here are my ‘Power Rankings’ for the Big Six categories. See who is on track for a nomination, and who still has ground to cover…


BEST PICTURE

Projected Nominees
[1] Munich
[2] Brokeback Mountain
[3] Good Night, and Good Luck
[4] Walk the Line
[5] Cinderella Man


In Contention
[6]
Match Point, [7] Mrs. Henderson Presents, [8] Crash, [9] The Producers, [10] The Constant Gardener, [11] King Kong
Dark Horses
[12] The Squid and the Whale, [13] Capote, [14] Memoirs of a Geisha, [15] The Family Stone
Not Forgotten
[16] The New World, [17] Syriana, [18] The White Countess, [19] Pride and Prejudice, [20] The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada, [21] Hustle and Flow

BEST DIRECTOR

Projected Nominees
[1] Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
[2] Steven Spielberg (Munich)
[3] George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)
[4] Woody Allen (Match Point)
[5] Peter Jackson (King Kong)
In Contention
[6] James Mangold (Walk the Line), [7] Fernando Meirelles (The Constant Gardener), [8] David Cronenberg (A History of Violence), [9] Ron Howard (Cinderella Man), [10] Rob Marshall (Memoirs of a Geisha), [11] Paul Haggis (Crash), [12] Stephen Frears (Mrs. Henderson Presents)

Dark Horses
[13] Bennett Miller (Capote), [14] Stephen Gaghan (Syriana), [15] Terence Malick (The New World)

Not Forgotten

[16] Susan Stroman (The Producers), [17] James Ivory (The White Countess), [18] Tommy Lee Jones (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada)


BEST ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
[2] Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
[3] Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
[4] David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck)
[5] Terrence Howard (Hustle and Flow)
In Contention
[6] Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man), [7] Eric Bana (Munich), [8] Jeff Daniels (The Squid and the Whale), [9] Nathan Lane (The Producers), [10] Steve Carrell (The 40 Year Old Virgin), [11] Jonathan Rhys-Meyers (Match Point)
Dark Horses
[12] Tommy Lee Jones (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada), [13] Ralph Fiennes (The White Countess), [14] Ralph Fiennes (The Constant Gardener)
Not Forgotten
[15] Bill Murray (Broken Flowers), [16] Viggo Mortensen (A History of Violence), [17] Anthony Hopkins (The World’s Fastest Indian), [18] Cillian Murphy (Breakfast on Pluto)


BEST ACTRESS
Projected Nominees
[1] Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
[2] Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
[3] Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
[4] Ziyi Zhang (Memoirs of a Geisha)
[5] Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice)
In Contention
[6] Sarah Jessica Parker (The Family Stone), [7] Charlize Theron (North Country), [8] Naomi Watts (King Kong)
Dark Horses
[9] Natasha Richardson (The White Countess)
, [10] Q’Orianka Kilcher (The New World), [11] Joan Allen (Upside of Anger), [12] Gwyneth Paltrow (Proof)
Not Forgotten
[13] Claire Danes (Shopgirl), [14] Vera Farmiga (Down to the Bone)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Projected Nominees
[1] George Clooney (Syriana)
[2] Jake Gyllenhaal (Brokeback Mountain)
[3] Bob Hoskins (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
[4] Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
[5] Matt Dillon (Crash)
In Contention
[6] William Hurt (A History of Violence), [7] Matthew Broderick (The Producers), [8] Craig T. Nelson (The Family Stone), [9] Terrence Howard (Crash), [10] Barry Pepper (The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada), [11] Christopher Plummer (The New World)
Dark Horses
[12] Peter Sarsgaard (Jarhead), [13] Clifton Collins Jr. (Capote), [14] Geoffrey Rush (Munich), [15] Kevin Costner (Upside of Anger), [16] Jeffrey Wright (Syriana), [17] Jamie Foxx (Jarhead)
Not Forgotten
[18] Will Ferrell (The Producers), [19] G
eorge Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck), [20] Ken Watanabe (Memoirs of a Geisha), [21] Jesse L. Martin (Rent), [22] Don Cheadle (Crash), [23] Frank Langella (Good Night, and Good Luck)



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Projected Nominees
[1] Scarlett Johansson (Match Point)
[2]
Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)
[3]
Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)
[4] Gong Li (Memoirs of a Geisha)
[5] Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
In Contention
[6] Laura Linney (The Squid and the Whale), [7] Diane Keaton (The Family Stone), [8] Uma Thurman (The Producers), [9] Catherine Keener (Capote), [10] Shirley MacLaine (In Her Shoes)
, [11] Frances McDormand (North Country)
Dark Horses
[12] Amy Adams (Junebug)
, [13] Vanessa Redgrave (The White Countess), [14] Emily Mortimer (Match Point), [15] Anne Hathaway (Brokeback Mountain)
Not Forgotten
[16] Rosario Dawson (Rent), [17] Rachel McAdams (The Family Stone)
, [18] Michelle Yeoh (Memoirs of a Geisha), [19] Thandie Newton (Crash), [20] Brenda Blethyn (Pride and Prejudice)